Week 10 • November 07, 2026, 05:00 AM UTC
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American
Power Rank: -28.7
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American
Power Rank: -15.0

By · Last updated

UAB (power rating: -15.0) holds a 13.7-point edge over Charlotte (-28.7) on a neutral field per Blue Chip Analytics. UAB's home field adds 2.3 points to that edge at Protective Stadium. See Line Value below.

General Information

Week: Week 10
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 PM CST
Stadium: Protective Stadium
Capacity: 47,100
Elevation: 623 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread None
Total (O/U) -
Odds Implied Score -
Power Rank Implied Line UAB -13.7

Line Value Calculator

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Charlotte
UAB
Home field — Protective Stadium
Weather: Partly Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

Does weather affect Charlotte vs UAB at Protective Stadium?

Game-time forecast at Protective Stadium shows Partly Cloudy — 72.7°F, Feels Like 64.0°F with winds of 2.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. The weather adjustment has been pre-filled in the Line Value Calculator above — adjust manually if conditions change before kick-off.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: July 05, 2026
Partly Cloudy

Partly Cloudy

72.7°F

Feels Like: 64.0°F
Wind: 2.5 mph S
Gusts: 4.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 92%
Rain Chance: 16%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Charlotte (Away)

This Week: 367.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4318.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 00:00
Rest Days: 8

UAB (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 920.4 miles
Season Total: 3029.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 23:00
Rest Days: 7

What are the key factors for Charlotte vs UAB?

Charlotte: Key Factors

Offensive line overhaul and run game focus

Charlotte's offense was historically bad last season (14.3 PPG), but the staff has prioritized upgrading the offensive line with transfers J'Ven Williams, Nic Cruji, and Reginhard Pierre-Nau. The running back duo of Jariel Cobb and Henry Rutledge returns, and the line's improvement will be critical against The Citadel's defense. The game plan likely leans heavily on the run to protect a still-unsettled quarterback situation.

Quarterback competition remains unresolved

Conner Harrell missed much of last season and was held out of spring practices due to a knee injury, while transfer Cole Gonzales (Pitt/Western Carolina) took first-team reps. The starting QB for Week 1 is uncertain, which could limit offensive rhythm early. The coaching staff may rely on a conservative game plan to minimize risk, especially with a new-look offensive line.

Defensive front seven is the strength

Linebackers Kadin Schmitz (66 tackles, 2 INT, 2 FF) and Gavin Willis lead a veteran front seven, and the return of edges DJ Burgess and Curtis Simpson should improve a pass rush that struggled due to injuries last year. This unit should dominate a Citadel offense that may lack explosive threats, allowing Charlotte to control the line of scrimmage.

Secondary inexperience is a concern

The secondary features a completely new starting group, with Collin Gill and Dy'Lon Womack taking on significantly larger roles. This unit was a weakness last season, and any miscommunication or blown coverages could give The Citadel opportunities. However, the pass rush improvement may help mask some of these issues.

Favorable home opener with ideal conditions

Charlotte opens at home with clear skies and 58°F, no travel, and a 1.7-point home-field advantage. This is a prime opportunity to build confidence after a 1-11 season. The coaching staff will emphasize a clean, mistake-free game to get the program on track, especially with the pressure of a new athletic director and potential offensive coordinator changes looming.

UAB: Key Factors

New coaching staff and system transition

UAB enters the season under first-year head coach Alex Mortensen, who has completely overhauled the culture after Trent Dilfer's tenure. The team is still adapting to Mortensen's offensive system and Todd Grantham's defensive scheme, which could lead to early-season growing pains, especially on the road against a Power Five opponent.

Quarterback uncertainty and offensive firepower

Ryder Burton is the clear starter after limited experience (two career starts), but he has a strong supporting cast with a deep backfield featuring Rod Robinson II, Ja'Vin Simpkins, and Bam McReynolds. The offensive line returns key pieces, but wide receiver depth is a concern if Kaleb Brown is not fully recovered from an ankle injury. The offense's ability to sustain drives and avoid turnovers will be critical.

Defensive strength up the middle

Todd Grantham's defense is anchored by a formidable interior with tackles Cam Cunningham, Chris Spencer, and Nigel Tate, plus experienced inside linebackers Muaaz Byard and Ike Esonwune. Safeties Jeremiah Jordan and Jotavian Pierce provide stability. This unit should be effective against the run, but the secondary, with corners Delvon Gulley and Darrell Sweeting, faces a tough test against Illinois' passing attack.

Adverse weather conditions

The game is forecasted to be cloudy with 65°F and 22 mph winds. Strong winds can disrupt passing games and kicking, potentially favoring a run-heavy approach. UAB's deep backfield could be an advantage in such conditions, while Burton's inexperience in windy environments may lead to inaccurate throws.

Road environment and travel factors

UAB travels 460 miles to Champaign for a non-conference road game against Illinois, which has a significant home-field advantage (2.6). The Blazers have no prior game experience this season, so this will be their first test in a hostile environment. The team's ability to handle the crowd noise and travel fatigue will be crucial.

What do the matchup numbers say?

Charlotte travels 368 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Charlotte arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

How do Charlotte and UAB compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UAB (-15.0) over Charlotte (-28.7) by 13.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UAB brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Blue Chip Analytics rates UAB as the stronger team by 13.7 points on a neutral field; apply HFA and travel context before finalising a line read.