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Week 6 •
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Tulsa7 @FINAL 45Memphis

2-3 American Power rating: -13.6
5-0 American Power rating: 6.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MEM -21.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
MEM -22.2
Edge
+1.2MEM
See details
◂ favors TLSAfavors MEM ▸Market: MEM -21.0
20.0 › MEM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MEM
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 TLSA1 MEM2 TLSA2 MEMModel: MEM -22.2

Betting information

Spread
MEM -21.0
Total
54.5
Odds implied score
TLSA 16.8 – 37.8 MEM

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Memphis defeated Tulsa 45–7 in a dominant performance. Memphis covered by 17.0; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at Memphis -21.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Memphis -22.2, an edge of 1.2 points toward Memphis.

What are the key factors for Tulsa vs Memphis?

Tulsa

Turnover Troubles

Tulsa committed four turnovers, including three interceptions by quarterback Kirk Francis, which directly led to 21 points for Memphis and a 28-7 halftime deficit.

Offensive Struggles

The offense managed only 175 passing yards and one touchdown, with Francis completing 20 of 34 passes but throwing three interceptions, highlighting a lack of consistency and protection.

Defensive Lapses

The defense allowed 45 points and 266 passing yards, including three touchdown passes from Brendon Lewis, and failed to force any turnovers or contain Memphis's balanced attack.

Key Player Loss

William Whitlow Jr. was disqualified for targeting, weakening the defensive lineup and potentially impacting discipline and depth in future games.

Momentum Collapse

After pulling within 14-7, Tulsa unraveled in the final two minutes of the first half with consecutive interceptions, leading to a 28-7 halftime deficit and a loss of competitive momentum.

Memphis

Dominant defensive performance

Memphis forced four turnovers (three interceptions, one fumble) and held Tulsa to just 7 points, showcasing a stifling defense that could be a key factor in future games.

Career day for QB Brendon Lewis

Lewis threw for a career-high three touchdowns and added a rushing score, completing 22 of 30 passes for 266 yards, indicating he is a reliable dual-threat leader.

Strong start and halftime surge

The Tigers built a 14-0 lead early and then scored 14 points in the final two minutes of the first half to take a 28-7 lead, demonstrating their ability to capitalize on opponent mistakes.

Historic consistency

Memphis has now won six or more games for the 12th consecutive season, a streak matched by only six other FBS teams since 2014, highlighting sustained program success.

Efficient offense with balanced attack

The Tigers gained 266 passing yards and added rushing touchdowns, showing offensive balance that will be difficult for future opponents to defend.

What were the weather conditions for Tulsa vs Memphis?

At kickoff, conditions at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium were Clear, 67°F with winds of 8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Tulsa travels 343 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Memphis won by 38 in a dominant performance.

Memphis covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do Tulsa and Memphis compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Memphis (6.4) over Tulsa (-13.6) by 20.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Memphis brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Tulsa and Memphis?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Memphis won and Memphis covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 5, 2025 Game-time

Clear

67°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity62%
Wind8 mph ESE
Gusts17 mph
Wind map for Tulsa at Memphis: aerial view of Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, wind from the ESE at 8.1 mph, gusting to 17 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM CDT
Venue
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
315 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

TulsaAway MemphisHome
This week343 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game1,681 miles
Season total1,814 miles3,000 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest8 days8 days

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