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Week 6 • October 04, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
Wisconsin @ Michigan
2-2
Big Ten
Power Rank: 3.4
10 FINAL 24
3-1
Big Ten
Power Rank: 15.2
Wisconsin covered by 2.5 | Game went Under by 8.5

By · Last updated

Michigan defeated Wisconsin 24–10 in a double-digit victory.

Wisconsin @ Michigan Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Michigan Stadium
Capacity: 107,601
Elevation: 863 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Michigan -16.5
Total (O/U) 42.5
Expected Score WIS 13.0 - 29.5 MICH
Power Rank Implied Line Michigan +11.8
Prediction Markets Michigan 89% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light snow showers

Light snow showers

27.3°F

Wind Chill: 16.3°F
Wind: 13.2 mph WSW
Gusts: 17.9 mph
Precipitation: 0.03"
Humidity: 89%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 77%

Travel & Rest

Wisconsin (Away)

This Week: 293.7 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2131.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 14

Michigan (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3125.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Michigan -16.5
Total Points 42.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Wisconsin 3.4
Michigan 15.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 294 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Michigan Stadium
Capacity 107,601
Elevation 863 ft
Weather: Light snow showers
Temperature 27.3°F
Wind Speed 13.2 mph
Your Line Michigan +11.8
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Wisconsin vs Michigan?

Wisconsin: Key Factors

Michigan: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Wisconsin travels 294 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Wisconsin arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Michigan won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Wisconsin covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Under by 8.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Michigan Stadium?

At 27.3°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 83%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Wisconsin and Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Michigan (15.2) over Wisconsin (3.4) by 11.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Michigan brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Wisconsin and Michigan?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Michigan won and Wisconsin covered the spread.