Week 6
War Memorial Stadium

UNLV31 @FINAL 17Wyoming , Week 6, Oct 4, 2025

4-0 MW Power rating: -3.0
2-2 MW Power rating: -7.8

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UNLV -4.5
PM Implied
UNLV -3.3
Blue Chip model
UNLV -0.3
Edge
+4.3WYO
See details
◂ favors UNLVfavors WYO ▸Market: UNLV -4.5
UNLV
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WYO
no impact
no impact
WYO
WYO
2 UNLV2 WYO4 UNLV4 WYOModel: UNLV -0.3

Betting information

Spread
UNLV -4.5
Total
50.5
Odds implied score
UNLV 27.5 – 23.0 WYO
Prediction markets
UNLV 63% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

UNLV defeated Wyoming 31–17 in a double-digit victory. UNLV covered by 9.5; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at UNLV -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UNLV -0.3 - a gap of 4.3 points toward Wyoming, of which 2.8 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What are the key factors for UNLV vs Wyoming?

UNLV

Special Teams Dominance

UNLV scored two touchdowns off blocked punts, with Kayden McGee and Jaden Bradley each contributing a return for a score, showcasing a significant advantage in special teams that could be a key factor in future games.

Efficient but Limited Passing Game

Anthony Colandrea completed 11 of 20 passes for 102 yards and a touchdown, indicating a conservative but effective aerial attack that may need to expand against tougher opponents.

Strong Ground Game

Jai'Den Thomas rushed for 94 yards and Keyvone Lee added a 6-yard touchdown run, highlighting a reliable running game that can control the clock and wear down defenses.

Defensive Resilience

UNLV forced two turnovers and held Wyoming to 17 points despite a pregame hail storm, demonstrating the defense's ability to perform under adverse conditions and limit opponent scoring.

Undefeated Start and Momentum

At 5-0 overall and 1-0 in conference play, UNLV has built significant momentum, which could boost confidence and performance in upcoming games.

Wyoming

Turnover Troubles

Wyoming committed two turnovers, which directly led to UNLV scoring opportunities and contributed to the 31-17 loss.

Special Teams Struggles

The Cowboys allowed two blocked punts that were returned for touchdowns, giving UNLV a 24-3 lead and putting Wyoming in a deep hole.

Passing Game Bright Spot

Quarterback Kaden Anderson threw for 254 yards and a touchdown on 25-of-46 passing, showing potential in the passing attack despite the loss.

Inconsistent Offense

Wyoming's offense struggled to sustain drives, scoring only 17 points and failing to capitalize on opportunities to close the gap after a third-quarter touchdown.

Defensive Resilience

Despite the loss, Wyoming's defense held UNLV to 31 points, with the special teams miscues being a major factor in the final margin.

What were the weather conditions for UNLV vs Wyoming?

At kickoff, conditions at War Memorial Stadium were Thundery outbreaks possible, 42°F, wind chill 34°F with winds of 14 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UNLV travels 632 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

UNLV arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

UNLV won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

UNLV covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do UNLV and Wyoming compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UNLV (-3.0) over Wyoming (-7.8) by 4.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Wyoming faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Wyoming brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UNLV won and UNLV covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 4, 2025 Game-time

Thundery outbreaks possible

42°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity72%
Wind14 mph W
Gusts20 mph
Wind chill34°F
Wind map for UNLV at Wyoming: aerial view of War Memorial Stadium, wind from the W at 14.3 mph, gusting to 19.7 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
05:00 PM MDT
Venue
War Memorial Stadium
Capacity
29,811
Elevation
7,231 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Measure UNLVAway WyomingHome
This week632 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total6,441 miles2,683 miles
Body clock16:0017:00
Rest14 days13 days