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Week 6 •
TDECU Stadium

Texas Tech35 @FINAL 11Houston

4-0 Big 12 Power rating: 20.8
4-0 Big 12 Power rating: 5.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TTU -13.5
PM Implied
TTU -9.9
Blue Chip model
TTU -14.3
Edge
-0.8TTU
See details
◂ favors TTUfavors HOU ▸Market: TTU -13.5
‹ 15.3 TTU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
HOU
TTU
no impact
no impact
HOU
1 TTU1 HOU2 TTU2 HOUModel: TTU -14.3

Betting information

Spread
TTU -13.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
TTU 32.5 – 19.0 HOU
Prediction markets
TTU 82% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas Tech defeated Houston 35–11 to secure a comfortable win. Texas Tech covered by 10.5; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at Texas Tech -13.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas Tech -14.3. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Texas Tech vs Houston?

Texas Tech

Dominant 5-0 Start with Blowout Wins

Texas Tech improved to 5-0 for the first time since 2013, winning each game by at least 24 points and outscoring opponents 243-56. This dominant form suggests they are a strong contender in the Big 12.

High-Powered Offense Led by Behren Morton

Quarterback Behren Morton threw for 345 yards and a touchdown, while J'Koby Williams rushed for two scores. The team amassed 552 total yards, indicating a potent offense that can exploit defenses.

Defensive Playmaking and Takeaways

Jacob Rodriguez intercepted a pass and had two tackles for loss and two pass breakups. The defense forced key turnovers, including a pick that set up a touchdown, showing they can create game-changing plays.

Strong Road Support and Team Chemistry

Coach Joey McGuire noted the team handled adversity well on the road, with a large Texas Tech fan presence making it feel like a home game. This resilience and support could be crucial in future away games.

Next Game: Hosting Kansas

Texas Tech will host Kansas next Saturday. Given their current form and offensive firepower, they are likely to be favored, but they must maintain focus to avoid a letdown against a conference opponent.

What were the weather conditions for Texas Tech vs Houston?

At kickoff, conditions at TDECU Stadium were Clear, 79°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Texas Tech travels 468 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Texas Tech won by 24 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas Tech covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Texas Tech and Houston compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas Tech (20.8) over Houston (5.5) by 15.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Houston faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Houston brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Texas Tech and Houston?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas Tech won and Texas Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 4, 2025 Game-time

Clear

79°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity68%
Wind7 mph ESE
Gusts11 mph
Wind map for Texas Tech at Houston: aerial view of TDECU Stadium, wind from the ESE at 7.2 mph, gusting to 10.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
06:00 PM CDT
Venue
TDECU Stadium
Capacity
40,000
Elevation
52 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Texas TechAway HoustonHome
This week468 miles0 miles
Last weekBye week3,672 miles
Season total1,946 miles3,680 miles
Body clock18:0018:00
Rest14 days7 days

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