DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Florida defeated Texas 29–21 in a one-score game. Florida covered by 12.5; Game went Over by 7.5. The market closed at Texas -4.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas -6.6, an edge of 2.1 points toward Texas. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Texas 10.4 points stronger on a neutral field.
Texas allowed six sacks and Manning was under constant pressure, exposing a weakness that Oklahoma's defense can exploit.
Manning overthrew open receivers on multiple deep routes, and a poorly executed double pass cost a potential big play, indicating timing and execution issues.
Despite holding Florida to 29 points, the defense allowed a true freshman receiver to have a historic debut, including a 55-yard touchdown where multiple tackles were missed.
Manning threw for 263 yards and 2 TDs despite the pass rush, showing competitiveness that could be key against Oklahoma.
Coach Sarkisian emphasized the need to get tighter as a team after the loss, suggesting potential adjustments in preparation for the Red River Rivalry.
DJ Lagway threw for a season-high 289 yards and two touchdowns, showing significant improvement and providing a spark to the offense after three games of low scoring.
True freshman Dallas Wilson had six catches for 111 yards and two touchdowns in his first college game, including a spectacular 55-yard TD, giving Florida a dynamic receiving threat.
Florida's defense sacked Texas quarterback Arch Manning six times without blitzing, disrupting the Longhorns' offense and creating turnovers (two interceptions).
The upset win ends a three-game losing streak and eases pressure on coach Billy Napier, providing a confidence boost heading into a tough road game at No. 6 Texas A&M.
After scoring only 16, 10, and 7 points in the previous three games, Florida's offense exploded for 29 points, suggesting the bye week adjustments are working.
At kickoff, conditions at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium were Cloudy, 79°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Cloudy
79°F

| Measure | TexasAway | FloridaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 923 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 3,056 miles | 1,634 miles |
| Body clock | 14:30 | 15:30 |
| Rest | 13 days | 14 days |