Week 6 • October 04, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
4-1
SEC
Power Rank: 12.5
9 FINAL 31
4-0
SEC
Power Rank: 20.6
Texas A&M covered by 7.5 | Game went Under by 17.5

Texas A&M defeated Mississippi State 31–9 to secure a comfortable win.

Mississippi State @ Texas A&M Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Kyle Field
Capacity: 102,733
Elevation: 367 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Texas A&M -14.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Expected Score MSST 21.5 - 36.0 TA&M
Power Rank Implied Line Texas A&M +8.1
Prediction Markets Texas A&M 87% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

44.4°F

Wind Chill: 40.1°F
Wind: 7.6 mph SSW
Gusts: 16.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 83%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Mississippi State (Away)

This Week: 484.3 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 784.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 7

Texas A&M (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 2070.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Texas A&M -14.5
Total Points 57.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Mississippi State 12.5
Texas A&M 20.6
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 484 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Kyle Field
Capacity 102,733
Elevation 367 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 44.4°F
Wind Speed 7.6 mph
Your Line Texas A&M +8.1
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Mississippi State vs Texas A&M?

Mississippi State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Mississippi State travels 484 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Texas A&M won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas A&M covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 17.5 points.

How do Mississippi State and Texas A&M compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Texas A&M (20.6) over Mississippi State (12.5) by 8.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas A&M brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Texas A&M won and Texas A&M covered the spread.