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Week 6 •
Kyle Field

Mississippi State9 @FINAL 31Texas A&M

4-1 SEC Power rating: 12.5
4-0 SEC Power rating: 20.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TA&M -17.5
PM Implied
TA&M -11.9
Blue Chip model
TA&M -11.1
Edge
-6.4MSST
See details
◂ favors MSSTfavors TA&M ▸Market: TA&M -17.5
8.1 › TA&M
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TA&M
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
2 MSST2 TA&M4 MSST4 TA&M6 MSST6 TA&MModel: TA&M -11.1

Betting information

Spread
TA&M -17.5
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
MSST 20.0 – 37.5 TA&M
Prediction markets
TA&M 87% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas A&M defeated Mississippi State 31–9 to secure a comfortable win. Texas A&M covered by 4.5; Game went Under by 17.5. The market closed at Texas A&M -17.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas A&M -11.1 - a gap of 6.4 points toward Mississippi State, of which 5.6 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Mississippi State vs Texas A&M?

At kickoff, conditions at Kyle Field were Clear, 74°F with winds of 10 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Mississippi State travels 484 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Texas A&M won by 22 to secure a comfortable win.

Texas A&M covered the spread.

The total went Under by 17.5 points.

How do Mississippi State and Texas A&M compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas A&M (20.6) over Mississippi State (12.5) by 8.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas A&M brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Mississippi State and Texas A&M?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas A&M won and Texas A&M covered the spread.

Conditions

as of October 4, 2025 Game-time

Clear

74°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity69%
Wind10 mph SSE
Gusts17 mph
Wind map for Mississippi State at Texas A&M: aerial view of Kyle Field, wind from the SSE at 9.6 mph, gusting to 16.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 6
Kickoff (local)
06:30 PM CDT
Venue
Kyle Field
Capacity
102,733
Elevation
367 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Mississippi StateAway Texas A&MHome
This week484 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total784 miles1,898 miles
Body clock18:3018:30
Rest7 days7 days

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