Week 6 • October 04, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
2-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 8.3
34 FINAL 35
3-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 11.5
Kansas State covered by 5.5 | Game went Over by 6.5

Baylor defeated Kansas State 35–34 in a nail-biter.

Kansas State @ Baylor Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: McLane Stadium
Capacity: 45,140
Elevation: 404 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Baylor -6.5
Total (O/U) 62.5
Expected Score KSU 28.0 - 34.5 BAY
Power Rank Implied Line Baylor +3.2
Prediction Markets Baylor 65% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

54.7°F

Wind Chill: 51.9°F
Wind: 11.0 mph SW
Gusts: 14.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 48%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Kansas State (Away)

This Week: 527.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10679.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Baylor (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 629.6 miles
Season Total: 810.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Baylor -6.5
Total Points 62.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Kansas State 8.3
Baylor 11.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 528 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: McLane Stadium
Capacity 45,140
Elevation 404 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 54.7°F
Wind Speed 11.0 mph
Your Line Baylor +3.2
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Kansas State vs Baylor?

Kansas State: Key Factors

Baylor: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Kansas State travels 528 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Baylor won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Kansas State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 6.5 points.

How do Kansas State and Baylor compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Baylor (11.5) over Kansas State (8.3) by 3.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Baylor brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Baylor won and Kansas State covered the spread.