Kansas State34 @FINAL 35Baylor , Week 6, Oct 4, 2025

Kansas State led 31-17 late in the third quarter but allowed Baylor to score 18 unanswered points in the fourth, including a pick-six and a game-winning field goal. This marks the third time this season the Wildcats have lost after leading or being tied in the fourth quarter, and their fifth one-score game in six contests.

After driving to the Baylor 2-yard line with a chance to seal the win, Kansas State settled for a 22-yard field goal instead of a touchdown. This conservative play-calling gave Baylor the opportunity to take the lead on the next possession, highlighting a recurring issue in close games.

Johnson threw for 339 yards and two touchdowns while also rushing for a score, but his critical interception in the fourth quarter was returned for a go-ahead touchdown. His dual-threat ability kept drives alive, but the turnover ultimately decided the game.

The Wildcats' defense allowed Baylor to score on three consecutive fourth-quarter drives, including a 42-yard catch and a spectacular one-handed grab that set up a touchdown. The inability to get stops when needed most has been a pattern in their losses.

Kansas State will host TCU next Saturday. Given their pattern of close losses, bettors should expect another tight contest, but the Wildcats must improve their fourth-quarter execution and red zone efficiency to secure a win.