Week 6October 03, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
26
1-3
American
Power Rank: -20.4
@
FINAL
54
3-1
American
Power Rank: 10.1

By · Last updated

South Florida defeated Charlotte 54–26 in a dominant performance. South Florida covered by 0.5; Game went Over by 25.5.

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity: 69,218
Elevation: 72 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread South Florida -27.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Odds Implied Score COLLE 13.5 - 41.0 USF
Power Rank Implied Line South Florida -30.5
Prediction Markets South Florida 97% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Charlotte @ South Florida Preview

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Charlotte
South Florida
Home field: Raymond James Stadium
Weather: Partly cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Charlotte vs South Florida?

At kick-off, conditions at Raymond James Stadium were Partly cloudy, 75.9°F, Feels Like 79.7°F with winds of 15.2 mph. Wind of 15.2 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 20.4 mph add unpredictability to the passing game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: October 03, 2025
Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

75.9°F

Feels Like: 79.7°F
Wind: 15.2 mph NE
Gusts: 20.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.44"
Humidity: 82%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Charlotte (Away)

This Week: 515.9 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 533.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 15

South Florida (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 625.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 13

What happened in the game?

Charlotte travels 516 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

South Florida won by 28 in a dominant performance.

South Florida covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 25.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Raymond James Stadium?

Wind of 15.2 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff.

Gusts reaching 20.4 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Charlotte and South Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour South Florida (10.1) over Charlotte (-20.4) by 30.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Florida brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.