Week 6 • October 03, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
1-3
American
Power Rank: -20.4
26 FINAL 54
3-1
American
Power Rank: 10.1
South Florida covered by 1.5 | Game went Over by 24.5

South Florida defeated Charlotte 54–26 in a dominant performance.

Charlotte @ South Florida Preview

General Information

Week: Week 6
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity: 69,218
Elevation: 72 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread South Florida -26.5
Total (O/U) 55.5
Expected Score COLLE 14.5 - 41.0 USF
Power Rank Implied Line South Florida +30.5
Prediction Markets South Florida 97% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

44.3°F

Wind Chill: 41.0°F
Wind: 5.6 mph NNW
Gusts: 9.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 59%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Charlotte (Away)

This Week: 515.9 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1852.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 15

South Florida (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 625.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 13

Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line South Florida -26.5
Total Points 55.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Charlotte -20.4
South Florida 10.1
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 516 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Charlotte +2
HFA: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity 69,218
Elevation 72 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 44.3°F
Wind Speed 5.6 mph
Your Line South Florida +30.5
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Charlotte vs South Florida?

Charlotte: Key Factors

South Florida: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Charlotte travels 516 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

South Florida won by 28 in a dominant performance.

South Florida covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Over by 24.5 points.

How do Charlotte and South Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour South Florida (10.1) over Charlotte (-20.4) by 30.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Florida brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.