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Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
Virginia Tech @ NC State
1-3
ACC
Power Rank: 0.3
23 FINAL 21
3-1
ACC
Power Rank: 6.0
Virginia Tech covered by 12.5 | Game went Under by 14.5

By · Last updated

Virginia Tech defeated NC State 23–21 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated NC State 5.7 points stronger on a neutral field.

Virginia Tech @ NC State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Carter-Finley Stadium
Capacity: 56,919
Elevation: 410 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread NC State -10.5
Total (O/U) 58.5
Expected Score VT 24.0 - 34.5 NCSU
Power Rank Implied Line NC State +5.7
Prediction Markets NC State 78% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Freezing fog

Freezing fog

27.2°F

Wind Chill: 20.4°F
Wind: 6.3 mph SW
Gusts: 11.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Virginia Tech (Away)

This Week: 136.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1028.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

NC State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 36.7 miles
Season Total: 214.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line NC State -10.5
Total Points 58.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Virginia Tech 0.3
NC State 6.0
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 136 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Carter-Finley Stadium
Capacity 56,919
Elevation 410 ft
Weather: Freezing fog
Temperature 27.2°F
Wind Speed 6.3 mph
Your Line NC State +5.7
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Virginia Tech vs NC State?

Virginia Tech: Key Factors

NC State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Virginia Tech travels 136 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Virginia Tech won by 2 in a nail-biter.

Virginia Tech covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 14.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Carter-Finley Stadium?

At 27.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Virginia Tech and NC State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour NC State (6.0) over Virginia Tech (0.3) by 5.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. NC State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Virginia Tech and NC State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Virginia Tech won and Virginia Tech covered the spread.