Week 5September 27, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
23
1-3
ACC
Power Rank: 0.3
@
FINAL
21
3-1
ACC
Power Rank: 6.0

By · Last updated

Virginia Tech defeated NC State 23–21 in a nail-biter. Virginia Tech covered by 12.0; Game went Under by 13.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated NC State 5.7 points stronger on a neutral field.

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Carter-Finley Stadium
Capacity: 56,919
Elevation: 410 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread NC State -10.0
Total (O/U) 57.5
Odds Implied Score VT 23.8 - 33.8 NCSU
Power Rank Implied Line NC State -5.7
Prediction Markets NC State 78% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Virginia Tech @ NC State Preview

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Virginia Tech
NC State
Home field: Carter-Finley Stadium
Weather: Cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Virginia Tech vs NC State?

At kick-off, conditions at Carter-Finley Stadium were Cloudy, 76.6°F, Heat Index 80.8°F with winds of 3.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 27, 2025
Cloudy

Cloudy

76.6°F

Heat Index: 80.8°F
Wind: 3.6 mph S
Gusts: 6.3 mph
Precipitation: 2.91"
Humidity: 61%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Virginia Tech (Away)

This Week: 136.1 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 791.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

NC State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 36.7 miles
Season Total: 214.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 7

What happened in the game?

Virginia Tech travels 136 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Virginia Tech won by 2 in a nail-biter.

Virginia Tech covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 13.5 points.

How do Virginia Tech and NC State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour NC State (6.0) over Virginia Tech (0.3) by 5.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. NC State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Virginia Tech won and Virginia Tech covered the spread.