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Week 5 •
Carter-Finley Stadium

Virginia Tech23 @FINAL 21NC State

1-3 ACC Power rating: 0.3
3-1 ACC Power rating: 6.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
NCSU -10.0
PM Implied
NCSU -7.9
Blue Chip model
NCSU -9.1
Edge
-0.9VT
See details
◂ favors VTfavors NCSU ▸Market: NCSU -10.0
5.7 › NCSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NCSU
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 VT1 NCSU2 VT2 NCSU3 VT3 NCSUModel: NCSU -9.1

Betting information

Spread
NCSU -10.0
Total
57.5
Odds implied score
VT 23.8 – 33.8 NCSU
Prediction markets
NCSU 78% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Virginia Tech defeated NC State 23–21 in a nail-biter. Virginia Tech covered by 12.0; Game went Under by 13.5. The market closed at NC State -10.0 and the Blue Chip model made it NC State -9.1. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line. Blue Chip Analytics had rated NC State 5.7 points stronger on a neutral field.

What were the weather conditions for Virginia Tech vs NC State?

At kickoff, conditions at Carter-Finley Stadium were Cloudy, 77°F with winds of 4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Virginia Tech travels 136 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Virginia Tech won by 2 in a nail-biter.

Virginia Tech covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 13.5 points.

How do Virginia Tech and NC State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor NC State (6.0) over Virginia Tech (0.3) by 5.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. NC State brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Virginia Tech and NC State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Virginia Tech won and Virginia Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

77°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity61%
Wind4 mph S
Gusts6 mph
Wind map for Virginia Tech at NC State: aerial view of Carter-Finley Stadium, wind from the S at 3.6 mph, gusting to 6.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EDT
Venue
Carter-Finley Stadium
Capacity
56,919
Elevation
410 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Virginia TechAway NC StateHome
This week136 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game37 miles
Season total792 miles215 miles
Body clock19:0019:00
Rest7 days7 days

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