DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Illinois defeated USC 34–32 in a nail-biter. Illinois covered by 8.5; Game went Over by 3.5. The market closed at USC -6.5 and the Blue Chip model made it USC -2.5, an edge of 4.0 points toward Illinois. Blue Chip Analytics had rated USC 5.6 points stronger on a neutral field.
USC mounted a fourth-quarter comeback, taking its first lead on a Jayden Maiava-to-Makai Lemon touchdown with 1:55 left, but the defense could not hold, allowing Illinois to drive for the game-winning field goal as time expired.
Quarterback Jayden Maiava threw for 364 yards and two touchdowns, both to Makai Lemon (11 catches, 151 yards), and Waymond Jordan rushed for 94 yards and two scores, showing the Trojans have a potent offense capable of big plays.
Despite the late lead, USC squandered opportunities on both sides of the ball, as noted by coach Lincoln Riley. The defense allowed 502 total yards and 171 rushing yards, and the offense failed to capitalize on earlier chances, contributing to the loss.
This was USC's first game against a ranked team this season, and while they showed resilience in the comeback, the loss exposes vulnerabilities that could be exploited by future ranked opponents.
USC has a bye week to regroup and prepare for a home game against Michigan on Oct. 11. The extra time will be crucial for addressing defensive issues and maintaining offensive momentum.
After a 63-10 loss to Indiana, Illinois showed resilience by defeating No. 21 USC 34-32, improving to 4-1. The team's ability to respond after USC took the lead late in the fourth quarter demonstrates mental toughness and confidence.
Altmyer completed 20 of 26 passes for 328 yards, threw two touchdowns, rushed for a score, and caught a touchdown pass. He has not thrown an interception this season, showcasing excellent decision-making and dual-threat capability.
After being held to 2 rushing yards and allowing 7 sacks against Indiana, Illinois rushed for 171 yards and allowed only 1 sack against USC. This drastic improvement in protection and ground game was key to the victory.
David Olano's 41-yard field goal as time expired sealed the win. The special teams unit, including Hank Beatty who has scored via pass, catch, rush, and punt return this season, provides a reliable edge in close games.
Dylan Rosiek intercepted USC's Jayden Maiava, marking Maiava's first interception of the season. This turnover helped shift momentum and kept Illinois in control during the third quarter.
At kickoff, conditions at Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) were Sunny, 84°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Sunny
84°F

| Measure | USCAway | IllinoisHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 1,704 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 222 miles |
| Season total | 5,255 miles | 1,382 miles |
| Body clock | 09:00 | 11:00 |
| Rest | 6 days | 7 days |