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Week 5 •
Kelly/Shorts Stadium

Eastern Michigan13 @FINAL 24Central Michigan

1-3 MAC Power rating: -16.1
2-2 MAC Power rating: -10.2

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
CMU -3.0
PM Implied
CMU -2.5
Blue Chip model
CMU -8.3
Edge
+5.3CMU
See details
◂ favors EMUfavors CMU ▸Market: CMU -3.0
CMU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
CMU
no impact
no impact
no impact
EMU
2 EMU2 CMU4 EMU4 CMU6 EMU6 CMUModel: CMU -8.3

Betting information

Spread
CMU -3.0
Total
55.5
Odds implied score
EMU 26.3 – 29.3 CMU
Prediction markets
CMU 60% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Central Michigan defeated Eastern Michigan 24–13 in a double-digit victory. Central Michigan covered by 8.0; Game went Under by 18.5. The market closed at Central Michigan -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Central Michigan -8.3 - a gap of 5.3 points toward Central Michigan, of which 4.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Eastern Michigan vs Central Michigan?

At kickoff, conditions at Kelly/Shorts Stadium were Sunny, 77°F with winds of 16 mph. Wind of 16 mph is enough to matter to the total: the market has historically taken about 1.7 points off the number in this band. It is worth re-checking closer to kickoff. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Eastern Michigan travels 108 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Central Michigan won by 11 in a double-digit victory.

Central Michigan covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 18.5 points.

How do Eastern Michigan and Central Michigan compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Central Michigan (-10.2) over Eastern Michigan (-16.1) by 5.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Central Michigan brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Eastern Michigan and Central Michigan?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Central Michigan won and Central Michigan covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 27, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

77°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity56%
Wind16 mph WSW
Gusts18 mph
Wind map for Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan: aerial view of Kelly/Shorts Stadium, wind from the WSW at 15.7 mph, gusting to 18.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 5
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM EDT
Venue
Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Capacity
35,127
Elevation
807 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Eastern MichiganAway Central MichiganHome
This week108 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total3,029 miles4,832 miles
Body clock13:0013:00
Rest7 days7 days

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