Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
2-1
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -10.9
14 FINAL 47
2-1
MW
Power Rank: 7.7
Boise State covered by 16.5 | Game went Over by 0.5

Boise State defeated App State 47–14 in a dominant performance.

App State @ Boise State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 05:30 PM MDT
Stadium: Albertsons Stadium
Capacity: 36,387
Elevation: 2723 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Boise State -16.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score APP 22.0 - 38.5 BOIS
Power Rank Implied Line Boise State +18.6
Prediction Markets Boise State 86% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

35.9°F

Wind Chill: 32.8°F
Wind: 3.8 mph WNW
Gusts: 8.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 70%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

App State (Away)

This Week: 1888.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3160.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 14

Boise State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1340.0 miles
Season Total: 5652.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Boise State -16.5
Total Points 60.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
App State -10.9
Boise State 7.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1888 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest App State +7
HFA: Albertsons Stadium
Capacity 36,387
Elevation 2723 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 35.9°F
Wind Speed 3.8 mph
Your Line Boise State +18.6
Implied Value

What are the key factors for App State vs Boise State?

App State: Key Factors

Boise State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

App State travels 1,888 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

App State arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Boise State won by 33 in a dominant performance.

Boise State covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 0.5 points.

How do App State and Boise State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Boise State (7.7) over App State (-10.9) by 18.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Boise State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Boise State won and Boise State covered the spread.