DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Alabama defeated Georgia 24–21 in a nail-biter. Alabama covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 8.5. The market closed at Georgia -2.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Alabama -3.3 - a gap of 5.8 points toward Alabama, of which 5.0 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Alabama converted 12 of 19 third downs on offense while holding Georgia to just 2 of 8 on defense, controlling the game's tempo and possession.
Simpson passed for 276 yards and two touchdowns and added a rushing score, leading the offense without turnovers and keeping drives alive.
With Alabama leading 24-21 in the fourth quarter, LT Overton stopped Georgia's fourth-and-1 run at the Alabama 8-yard line, preserving the lead.
After an opening loss to Florida State, Alabama has won three straight, showing improvement and resilience heading into conference play.
Alabama hosts No. 18 Vanderbilt next Saturday; the Commodores are 5-0 for the first time since 2008, so the Crimson Tide must maintain focus and execution.
Georgia lost its first home game in six years, ending a 33-game home winning streak that was the longest active in FBS. This could affect team morale and home-field advantage perception.
Georgia allowed Alabama to convert 12 of 19 third downs while only converting 2 of 8 themselves. This inefficiency on both sides of the ball was a key factor in the loss and must be addressed.
Freshman Chauncey Bowens took over as the lead back after Nate Frazier's fumble, rushing for 119 yards and a touchdown. The Bulldogs ran for 227 yards overall, but passing game was limited to 130 yards.
Georgia continued to struggle with missed tackles, a problem that was evident in the previous week's game at Tennessee. This defensive issue allowed Alabama to gain 262 yards in the first half.
Georgia hosts Kentucky next Saturday. Kentucky lost to South Carolina 35-13, so Georgia will look to rebound and fix their defensive issues against a less potent offense.
At kickoff, conditions at Sanford Stadium were Overcast, 74°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Overcast
74°F
| Measure | AlabamaAway | GeorgiaHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 246 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Bye week | Bye week |
| Season total | 786 miles | 283 miles |
| Body clock | 18:30 | 19:30 |
| Rest | 14 days | 14 days |
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