Week 5 • September 27, 2025, 07:30 PM UTC
1-3
MAC
Power Rank: -20.0
3 FINAL 45
2-2
MAC
Power Rank: 0.5
Toledo covered by 21.5 | Game went Under by 0.5

Toledo defeated Akron 45–3 in a dominant performance.

Akron @ Toledo Preview

General Information

Week: Week 5
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Glass Bowl
Capacity: 8,000
Elevation: 610 ft
HFA Rating: 2.6
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Toledo -20.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Expected Score AKR 14.0 - 34.5 TOL
Power Rank Implied Line Toledo +20.5
Prediction Markets Toledo 93% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Light snow

Light snow

26.5°F

Wind Chill: 16.1°F
Wind: 11.6 mph WSW
Gusts: 18.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.03"
Humidity: 94%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 86%

Travel & Rest

Akron (Away)

This Week: 116.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3122.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Toledo (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 222.3 miles
Season Total: 1022.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Toledo -20.5
Total Points 48.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Akron -20.0
Toledo 0.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 117 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Glass Bowl
Capacity 8,000
Elevation 610 ft
Weather: Light snow
Temperature 26.5°F
Wind Speed 11.6 mph
Your Line Toledo +20.5
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Akron vs Toledo?

Akron: Key Factors

Toledo: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Akron travels 117 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Toledo won by 42 in a dominant performance.

Toledo covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 0.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Glass Bowl?

At 26.5°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Akron and Toledo compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Toledo (0.5) over Akron (-20.0) by 20.5 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Toledo brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Toledo won and Toledo covered the spread.