14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 4 • September 21, 2025, 01:30 AM UTC
UTSA @ Colorado State
1-2
American
Power Rank: -0.5
17 FINAL 16
1-1
MW
Power Rank: -9.8
Colorado State covered by 3.5 | Game went Under by 26.5

By · Last updated

UTSA defeated Colorado State 17–16 in a nail-biter.

UTSA @ Colorado State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM MDT
Stadium: Canvas Stadium
Capacity: 41,000
Elevation: 5010 ft
HFA Rating: 2.0
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UTSA -4.5
Total (O/U) 59.5
Expected Score UTSA 32.0 - 27.5 CSU
Power Rank Implied Line UTSA +9.3
Prediction Markets UTSA 65% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

32.2°F

Wind Chill: 27.6°F
Wind: 4.7 mph WNW
Gusts: 9.8 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 36%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UTSA (Away)

This Week: 854.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1159.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:30
Rest Days: 8

Colorado State (Home)

This Week: 0.2 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1965.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 15

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UTSA -4.5
Total Points 59.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UTSA -0.5
Colorado State -9.8
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 855 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Colorado State +7
HFA: Canvas Stadium
Capacity 41,000
Elevation 5010 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 32.2°F
Wind Speed 4.7 mph
Your Line Colorado State -9.3
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for UTSA vs Colorado State?

UTSA: Key Factors

Colorado State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

UTSA travels 855 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UTSA arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

UTSA won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Colorado State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 26.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Canvas Stadium?

At 32.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do UTSA and Colorado State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UTSA (-0.5) over Colorado State (-9.8) by 9.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Colorado State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Colorado State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UTSA and Colorado State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

UTSA won and Colorado State covered the spread.