Week 4September 20, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
33
3-0
ACC
Power Rank: 6.0
@
FINAL
45
1-2
ACC
Power Rank: 6.8

By · Last updated

Duke defeated NC State 45–33 in a double-digit victory. Duke covered by 9.0; Game went Over by 20.5.

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:00 PM EDT
Stadium: Wallace Wade Stadium
Capacity: 35,018
Elevation: 384 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Duke -3.0
Total (O/U) 57.5
Odds Implied Score NCSU 27.2 - 30.2 DUKE
Power Rank Implied Line Duke -0.8
Prediction Markets Duke 58% Win Chance (Kalshi)
NC State @ Duke Preview

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NC State
Duke
Home field: Wallace Wade Stadium
Weather: Overcast
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for NC State vs Duke?

At kick-off, conditions at Wallace Wade Stadium were Overcast, 78.4°F, Heat Index 81.0°F with winds of 8.5 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 20, 2025
Overcast

Overcast

78.4°F

Heat Index: 81.0°F
Wind: 8.5 mph NE
Gusts: 15.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 62%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

NC State (Away)

This Week: 18.3 miles
Last Week: 178.0 miles
Season Total: 196.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 9

Duke (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1541.4 miles
Season Total: 1541.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 6

What happened in the game?

NC State travels 18 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Duke won by 12 in a double-digit victory.

Duke covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 20.5 points.

How do NC State and Duke compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Duke (6.8) over NC State (6.0) by 0.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Duke brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Duke won and Duke covered the spread.