Week 4 • September 20, 2025, 04:00 PM UTC
2-1
SEC
Power Rank: 10.0
31 FINAL 32
3-0
American
Power Rank: 7.8
Memphis covered by 8.5 | Game went Over by 0.5

Memphis defeated Arkansas 32–31 in a nail-biter.

Arkansas @ Memphis Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 11:00 AM CDT
Stadium: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity: 50,000
Elevation: 315 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Arkansas -7.5
Total (O/U) 62.5
Expected Score ARK 35.0 - 27.5 MEM
Power Rank Implied Line Arkansas +2.2
Prediction Markets Arkansas 72% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Sunny

Sunny

42.6°F

Wind Chill: 36.7°F
Wind: 11.4 mph WSW
Gusts: 17.0 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 50%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arkansas (Away)

This Week: 245.4 miles
Last Week: 575.6 miles
Season Total: 821.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Memphis (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 652.4 miles
Season Total: 1318.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Arkansas -7.5
Total Points 62.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arkansas 10.0
Memphis 7.8
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 245 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity 50,000
Elevation 315 ft
Weather: Sunny
Temperature 42.6°F
Wind Speed 11.4 mph
Your Line Memphis -2.2
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Arkansas vs Memphis?

Arkansas: Key Factors

Memphis: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Arkansas travels 245 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Memphis won by 1 in a nail-biter.

Memphis covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 0.5 points.

How do Arkansas and Memphis compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arkansas (10.0) over Memphis (7.8) by 2.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Memphis faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Memphis brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Memphis won and Memphis covered the spread.