14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 4 • September 20, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
Arizona State @ Baylor
2-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 10.4
27 FINAL 24
2-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 9.2
Arizona State covered by 5.5 | Game went Under by 9.5

By · Last updated

Arizona State defeated Baylor 27–24 in a nail-biter.

Arizona State @ Baylor Preview

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CDT
Stadium: McLane Stadium
Capacity: 45,140
Elevation: 404 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Baylor -2.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score ASU 29.0 - 31.5 BAY
Power Rank Implied Line Arizona State +1.2
Prediction Markets Baylor 56% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

44.1°F

Wind Chill: 39.0°F
Wind: 9.2 mph SSW
Gusts: 19.5 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 84%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arizona State (Away)

This Week: 874.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3542.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:30
Rest Days: 6

Baylor (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 180.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Baylor -2.5
Total Points 60.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arizona State 10.4
Baylor 9.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 874 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Baylor +1
HFA: McLane Stadium
Capacity 45,140
Elevation 404 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 44.1°F
Wind Speed 9.2 mph
Your Line Baylor -1.2
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Arizona State vs Baylor?

Arizona State: Key Factors

Baylor: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Arizona State travels 874 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Arizona State arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Arizona State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Arizona State covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Under by 9.5 points.

How do Arizona State and Baylor compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arizona State (10.4) over Baylor (9.2) by 1.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Baylor faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Baylor brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Arizona State and Baylor?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Arizona State won and Arizona State covered the spread.