Week 4September 19, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
19
1-2
American
Power Rank: -15.7
@
FINAL
12
1-1
Big 12
Power Rank: -16.7

By · Last updated

Tulsa defeated Oklahoma State 19–12 in a one-score game. Tulsa covered by 17.0; Game went Under by 23.5.

General Information

Week: Week 4
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:30 PM CDT
Stadium: Boone Pickens Stadium
Capacity: 52,305
Elevation: 965 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Oklahoma State -10.0
Total (O/U) 54.5
Odds Implied Score TLSA 22.2 - 32.2 OKST
Power Rank Implied Line Tulsa -1.0
Prediction Markets Oklahoma State 79% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State Preview

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Tulsa
Oklahoma State
Home field: Boone Pickens Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Tulsa vs Oklahoma State?

At kick-off, conditions at Boone Pickens Stadium were Clear, 75.4°F, Feels Like 78.1°F with winds of 9.6 mph. Gusts reaching 20.1 mph add unpredictability to the passing game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 19, 2025
Clear

Clear

75.4°F

Feels Like: 78.1°F
Wind: 9.6 mph SE
Gusts: 20.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 61%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Tulsa (Away)

This Week: 62.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 1408.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 5

Oklahoma State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2949.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 13

What are the key factors for Tulsa vs Oklahoma State?

Oklahoma State: Key Factors

Offensive Struggles Continue

Oklahoma State managed only 12 points, with 9 coming in the second half after trailing 16-3 at halftime. The offense gained 403 total yards but was held to 117 in the first half, showing an inability to finish drives.

Defensive Lapses Early

The defense allowed Tulsa to control the ball for nearly 20 minutes in the first half, including three drives of 10+ plays. This led to a 16-3 halftime deficit, putting the Cowboys in a hole they couldn't fully escape.

Zane Flores Shows Promise

Third-year freshman QB Zane Flores passed for 214 yards and rushed for 56 yards, including a 5-yard TD run. His performance in his second career start provides a potential spark for the offense moving forward.

Team in a Downward Trend

Oklahoma State has won only one of its last 12 games dating back to last season. The loss to Tulsa, their first since 1998, and the 69-3 defeat to Oregon highlight a significant decline, with fan frustration evident in 'Fire Gundy' chants.

Key Defensive Performance by Parker Robertson

Linebacker Parker Robertson led both teams with 15 tackles (8 solo), 1.5 tackles for loss, two pass break-ups, and a forced fumble. His effort was a bright spot, but the defense still allowed 19 points and struggled to get off the field.

What happened in the game?

Tulsa travels 63 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Tulsa won by 7 in a one-score game.

Tulsa covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 23.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Boone Pickens Stadium?

Gusts reaching 20.1 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Tulsa and Oklahoma State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Tulsa (-15.7) over Oklahoma State (-16.7) by 1.0 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Oklahoma State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Oklahoma State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Tulsa won and Tulsa covered the spread.