Week 3September 14, 2025, 02:30 AM UTC
15
2-0
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -5.8
@
FINAL
34
1-1
Big 12
Power Rank: 7.4

By · Last updated

Arizona State defeated Texas State 34–15 to secure a comfortable win. Arizona State covered by 0.5; Game went Under by 12.5.

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM MST
Stadium: Mountain America Stadium
Capacity: 53,599
Elevation: 1220 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Arizona State -18.5
Total (O/U) 61.5
Odds Implied Score TXST 21.5 - 40.0 ASU
Power Rank Implied Line Arizona State -13.2
Prediction Markets Arizona State 89% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Texas State @ Arizona State Preview

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Your line Arizona State +13.2
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Texas State
Arizona State
Home field: Mountain America Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Texas State vs Arizona State?

At kick-off, conditions at Mountain America Stadium were Clear, 79.2°F, Feels Like 77.5°F with winds of 1.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 14, 2025
Clear

Clear

79.2°F

Feels Like: 77.5°F
Wind: 1.6 mph S
Gusts: 3.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 26%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Texas State (Away)

This Week: 859.9 miles
Last Week: 93.3 miles
Season Total: 953.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 21:30
Rest Days: 8

Arizona State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 2668.3 miles
Season Total: 2668.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 8

What happened in the game?

Texas State travels 860 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Texas State arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Arizona State won by 19 to secure a comfortable win.

Arizona State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 12.5 points.

How do Texas State and Arizona State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Arizona State (7.4) over Texas State (-5.8) by 13.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Arizona State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Arizona State won and Arizona State covered the spread.