DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Tulane defeated Duke 34–27 in a one-score game. Tulane covered by 5.5; Game went Over by 8.5. The market closed at Tulane -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Duke -0.3, an edge of 1.8 points toward Duke. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Duke 3.6 points stronger on a neutral field.
Duke has lost consecutive games in September for the first time since 2020 and dropped back-to-back nonconference games for the first time since 2010, indicating a potential decline in early-season performance.
After committing five turnovers against Illinois, Duke cut that to one against Tulane, but special teams miscues (missed field goal, mishandled snap, blocked kick) cost them points and momentum.
Mensah threw for 313 yards and two touchdowns, his third straight 300-yard game, showing consistency and resilience despite a hostile environment and pressure from Tulane's defense.
Duke scored twice in the final three minutes to cut the lead to 34-27, but failed on two onside kicks, highlighting an inability to complete comebacks and secure possession in critical moments.
Duke opens ACC play at home against N.C. State next Saturday, needing to address special teams and early-game execution to avoid a third straight loss and start conference play positively.
Jake Retzlaff set a school record with four rushing touchdowns, adding 111 yards on the ground and 245 passing yards. His dual-threat ability was crucial in building an early 24-3 lead and sustaining drives.
Tulane improved to 3-0 for only the third time in 50 years, matching seasons (1998, 2022) that ended with 12 wins and a conference title. This suggests strong potential for a successful campaign.
Facing fourth-and-2 from their own 45 with a 24-16 lead, coach Sumrall opted to go for it. Retzlaff's 3-yard keeper extended the drive, leading to his fourth TD and a 34-16 advantage, effectively sealing the win.
Tulane's defense forced Duke to drive the field, allowing 313 passing yards but no explosive touchdowns. They also blocked a field goal and limited Duke to one turnover, a key improvement from previous games.
Tulane faces a significant challenge against a ranked SEC opponent on the road. The team's ability to maintain offensive efficiency and defensive discipline will be critical against a high-powered Ole Miss offense.
At kickoff, conditions at Yulman Stadium were Clear, 81°F, heat index 86°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
81°F
| Measure | DukeAway | TulaneHome |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 771 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 252 miles |
| Season total | 771 miles | 252 miles |
| Body clock | 20:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 8 days | 8 days |
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