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Week 3 •
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium

UTEP10 @FINAL 27Texas

1-1 CUSA Power rating: -15.5
1-1 SEC Power rating: 19.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TEX -39.5
PM Implied
TEX -25.4
Blue Chip model
TEX -38.9
Edge
-0.6UTEP
See details
◂ favors UTEPfavors TEX ▸Market: TEX -39.5
35.0 › TEX
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TEX
no impact
no impact
no impact
TEX
2 UTEP2 TEX4 UTEP4 TEXModel: TEX -38.9

Betting information

Spread
TEX -39.5
Total
52.5
Odds implied score
UTEP 6.5 – 46.0 TEX
Prediction markets
TEX 99% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas defeated UTEP 27–10 to secure a comfortable win. UTEP covered by 22.5; Game went Under by 15.5. The market closed at Texas -39.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas -38.9. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for UTEP vs Texas?

UTEP

Strong Defensive Effort

UTEP's defense pressured Texas quarterback Arch Manning multiple times, forcing him into confusion and poor decisions, including an interception and 10 straight incompletions. This defensive performance kept the game closer than expected.

Quarterback Struggles with Turnovers

UTEP quarterback Malachai Nelson completed 24 of 36 passes for 209 yards but threw two interceptions, which hurt the team's ability to capitalize on defensive stops. Protecting the football will be critical moving forward.

Limited Offensive Production

The Miners managed only 259 total yards and 10 points, struggling to sustain drives against a Texas defense that has allowed just four touchdowns all season. Improving offensive efficiency is a key area for the next game.

Next Opponent: Louisiana-Monroe

UTEP hosts Louisiana-Monroe next Saturday. The Miners will need to build on their defensive strengths while addressing offensive turnovers and consistency to secure a win.

Texas

Arch Manning's Passing Struggles Continue

Manning completed only 9 of 22 passes for 97 yards through three quarters, with 10 straight incompletions and an interception in the end zone, leading to boos from the home crowd. His accuracy issues and frustration suggest he may continue to struggle against better defenses.

Running Back Depth Tested but Effective

With starting tailback Quintrevion Wisner out and C.J. Baxter injured on the first play, backups James Simon and Jerrick Gibson combined for 131 rushing yards, showing the team can rely on its running game despite injuries.

Defense Remains a Strength

Texas held UTEP to 259 total yards and has surrendered only four touchdowns all season, indicating a stout defense that can keep games close even when the offense sputters.

Manning's Self-Criticism and Coach's Support

Manning expressed frustration and acknowledged he needs to play better, while coach Steve Sarkisian noted he pressed and missed throws but remains confident in his abilities. This internal pressure could affect his performance in upcoming games.

What were the weather conditions for UTEP vs Texas?

At kickoff, conditions at DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium were Overcast, 89°F, heat index 90°F with winds of 14 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UTEP travels 530 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

UTEP arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Texas won by 17 to secure a comfortable win.

UTEP covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 15.5 points.

How do UTEP and Texas compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas (19.5) over UTEP (-15.5) by 35.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UTEP and Texas?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas won and UTEP covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

89°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity40%
Wind14 mph SSE
Gusts18 mph
Heat index90°F
Wind map for UTEP at Texas: aerial view of DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, wind from the SSE at 14.1 mph, gusting to 17.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
03:15 PM CDT
Venue
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Capacity
100,119
Elevation
574 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

UTEPAway TexasHome
This week530 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total2,026 miles2,133 miles
Body clock14:1515:15
Rest6 days7 days

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