Miami defeated South Florida 49–12 in a dominant performance. Miami covered by 19.5; Game went Over by 4.5.
Adjust any factor to update your projected line
Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Hard Rock Stadium were Partly cloudy, 76.8°F, Heat Index 82.0°F with winds of 9.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
76.8°F
USF's offense, led by QB Byrum Brown, was held to 12 points and struggled to sustain drives, with Brown throwing his first interception in 252 attempts. The Bulls managed only 274 passing yards and one touchdown, far below their previous output.
The Bulls' defense allowed 49 points and 340 passing yards to Miami QB Carson Beck, including three touchdown passes. They were unable to stop the run, giving up 120 yards and two TDs to Mark Fletcher Jr., and were outscored 64-6 over the last 60 minutes of play dating back to last season.
A critical fourth-and-3 stop by Miami at the USF 9 late in the third quarter, with the Bulls trailing 28-6, effectively ended any comeback hopes. This failure to convert in the red zone highlighted USF's inability to finish drives against a ranked opponent.
Despite entering the game with wins over ranked Boise State and Florida, USF failed to execute as they had in previous games, according to coach Alex Golesh. The team looked out of sync, especially after a weather delay, and could not replicate their earlier success.
USF hosts South Carolina State next Saturday, providing a chance to regroup and address offensive and defensive issues before facing another ranked opponent. The Bulls will need to improve red zone efficiency and defensive consistency to get back on track.
South Florida travels 197 miles to this game, a short road trip.
Miami won by 37 in a dominant performance.
Miami covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Over by 4.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Miami (21.5) over South Florida (9.5) by 12.0 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Miami brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Miami won and Miami covered the spread.
