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Week 3 •
Jones AT&T Stadium

Oregon State14 @FINAL 45Texas Tech

0-2 Pac-12 Power rating: -8.8
2-0 Big 12 Power rating: 21.5

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
TTU -24.5
PM Implied
TTU -19.2
Blue Chip model
TTU -34.1
Edge
+9.6TTU
See details
◂ favors ORSTfavors TTU ▸Market: TTU -24.5
30.3 › TTU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
TTU
no impact
TTU
TTU
TTU
5 ORST5 TTU10 ORST10 TTUModel: TTU -34.1

Betting information

Spread
TTU -24.5
Total
61.5
Odds implied score
ORST 18.5 – 43.0 TTU
Prediction markets
TTU 96% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Texas Tech defeated Oregon State 45–14 in a dominant performance. Texas Tech covered by 6.5; Game went Under by 2.5. The market closed at Texas Tech -24.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Texas Tech -34.1 - a gap of 9.6 points toward Texas Tech, of which 7.9 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Oregon State vs Texas Tech?

At kickoff, conditions at Jones AT&T Stadium were Sunny, 81°F, heat index 82°F with winds of 13 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Oregon State travels 1,371 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Oregon State arrives with a 2-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Texas Tech won by 31 in a dominant performance.

Texas Tech covered the spread.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do Oregon State and Texas Tech compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Texas Tech (21.5) over Oregon State (-8.8) by 30.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Texas Tech brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Oregon State and Texas Tech?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Texas Tech won and Texas Tech covered the spread.

Conditions

as of September 13, 2025 Game-time

Sunny

81°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity43%
Wind13 mph SSE
Gusts19 mph
Heat index82°F
Wind map for Oregon State at Texas Tech: aerial view of Jones AT&T Stadium, wind from the SSE at 13 mph, gusting to 18.6 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 3
Kickoff (local)
02:30 PM CDT
Venue
Jones AT&T Stadium
Capacity
60,229
Elevation
3,228 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Oregon StateAway Texas TechHome
This week1,371 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total1,371 miles0 miles
Body clock12:3014:30
Rest7 days7 days

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