Week 3 • September 13, 2025, 11:00 PM UTC
2-0
SEC
Power Rank: 7.4
35 FINAL 41
2-0
SEC
Power Rank: 20.2
Arkansas covered by 3.5 | Game went Over by 12.5

Ole Miss defeated Arkansas 41–35 in a closely contested finish.

Arkansas @ Ole Miss Preview

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM CDT
Stadium: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Capacity: 24,000
Elevation: 472 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Ole Miss -9.5
Total (O/U) 63.5
Expected Score ARK 27.0 - 36.5 MISS
Power Rank Implied Line Ole Miss +12.8
Prediction Markets Ole Miss 64% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

30.9°F

Wind Chill: 25.3°F
Wind: 5.6 mph WSW
Gusts: 11.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 86%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Arkansas (Away)

This Week: 287.8 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 287.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Ole Miss (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 755.2 miles
Season Total: 906.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Ole Miss -9.5
Total Points 63.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arkansas 7.4
Ole Miss 20.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 288 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Capacity 24,000
Elevation 472 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 30.9°F
Wind Speed 5.6 mph
Your Line Ole Miss +12.8
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Arkansas vs Ole Miss?

Arkansas: Key Factors

Ole Miss: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Arkansas travels 288 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ole Miss won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Arkansas covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 12.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium?

At 30.9°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Arkansas and Ole Miss compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ole Miss (20.2) over Arkansas (7.4) by 12.8 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ole Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ole Miss won and Arkansas covered the spread.