Week 3September 11, 2025, 11:30 PM UTC
34
2-0
ACC
Power Rank: 2.9
@
FINAL
24
2-0
ACC
Power Rank: 0.3

By · Last updated

NC State defeated Wake Forest 34–24 in a double-digit victory. NC State covered by 2.5; Game went Over by 5.5.

General Information

Week: Week 3
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EDT
Stadium: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Capacity: 31,500
Elevation: 958 ft
HFA Rating: 2.3
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread NC State -7.5
Total (O/U) 52.5
Odds Implied Score NCSU 30.0 - 22.5 WAKE
Power Rank Implied Line NC State -2.6
Prediction Markets NC State 73% Win Chance (Kalshi)
NC State @ Wake Forest Preview

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Wake Forest -2.6
Implied value
Current line - edit to adjust
Wake Forest perspective
Power ratings - edit to adjust
NC State
Wake Forest
Home field: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Weather: Partly cloudy
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for NC State vs Wake Forest?

At kick-off, conditions at Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium were Partly cloudy, 68.5°F, Feels Like 68.5°F with winds of 1.6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: September 11, 2025
Partly cloudy

Partly cloudy

68.5°F

Feels Like: 68.5°F
Wind: 1.6 mph WNW
Gusts: 3.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 74%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

NC State (Away)

This Week: 89.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 89.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 5

Wake Forest (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 0.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 5

What happened in the game?

NC State travels 89 miles to this game, a short road trip.

NC State won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

NC State covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 5.5 points.

How do NC State and Wake Forest compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour NC State (2.9) over Wake Forest (0.3) by 2.6 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Wake Forest faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Wake Forest brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

NC State won and NC State covered the spread.