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Week 14 •
Stanford Stadium

Notre Dame49 @FINAL 20Stanford

9-2 Independent Power rating: 29.1
4-7 ACC Power rating: 0.0

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ND -32.5
PM Implied
ND -22.6
Blue Chip model
ND -25.8
Edge
+6.7STAN
See details
◂ favors NDfavors STAN ▸Market: ND -32.5
‹ 29.1 ND
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
STAN
no impact
STAN
no impact
no impact
2 ND2 STAN4 ND4 STAN6 ND6 STANModel: ND -25.8

Betting information

Spread
ND -32.5
Total
49.5
Odds implied score
ND 41.0 – 8.5 STAN
Prediction markets
ND 97% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Notre Dame defeated Stanford 49–20 in a dominant performance. Stanford covered by 3.5; Game went Over by 19.5. The market closed at Notre Dame -32.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Notre Dame -25.8 - a gap of 6.7 points toward Stanford, of which 5.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.

What were the weather conditions for Notre Dame vs Stanford?

At kickoff, conditions at Stanford Stadium were Mist, 44°F with winds of 1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Notre Dame travels 1,927 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

That is a westward shift of 3 time zones, the one travel pattern Blue Chip has measured as carrying a consistent price: about 0.9 points, with the distance burden already inside it.

Notre Dame won by 29 in a dominant performance.

Stanford covered the spread.

The total went Over by 19.5 points.

How do Notre Dame and Stanford compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Notre Dame (29.1) over Stanford (0.0) by 29.1 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Stanford faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Stanford brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Notre Dame and Stanford?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Notre Dame won and Stanford covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 30, 2025 Game-time

Mist

44°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity96%
Wind1 mph SSE
Gusts3 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Notre Dame at Stanford: aerial view of Stanford Stadium, wind from the SSE at 1.3 mph, gusting to 2.5 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 14
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM PST
Venue
Stanford Stadium
Capacity
50,424
Elevation
46 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Notre DameAway StanfordHome
This week1,927 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameHome game
Season total7,581 miles23,562 miles
Body clock22:3019:30
Rest8 days7 days

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