Week 12 • November 16, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
5-4
MW
Power Rank: -4.6
26 FINAL 29
7-2
MW
Power Rank: -3.2
Utah State covered by 2.5 | Game went Under by 15.5

UNLV defeated Utah State 29–26 in a nail-biter.

Utah State @ UNLV Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 04:00 PM PST
Stadium: Allegiant Stadium
Capacity: 65,000
Elevation: 2192 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread UNLV -5.5
Total (O/U) 70.5
Expected Score USU 32.5 - 38.0 UNLV
Power Rank Implied Line UNLV +1.4
Prediction Markets UNLV 68% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Venue: Indoor · Climate Controlled

Indoor Game

~72°F

Venue: Allegiant Stadium
Wind: 0 mph
Gusts: 0 mph
Precipitation: 0"
Humidity: Controlled
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Utah State (Away)

This Week: 430.6 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 12633.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 17:00
Rest Days: 7

UNLV (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1257.9 miles
Season Total: 9372.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 16:00
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UNLV -5.5
Total Points 70.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Utah State -4.6
UNLV -3.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 431 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest UNLV +1
HFA: Allegiant Stadium
Capacity 65,000
Elevation 2192 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 52.5°F
Wind Speed 1.6 mph
Your Line UNLV +1.4
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Utah State vs UNLV?

Utah State: Key Factors

UNLV: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Utah State travels 431 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Utah State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

UNLV won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Utah State covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Under by 15.5 points.

How do Utah State and UNLV compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UNLV (-3.2) over Utah State (-4.6) by 1.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UNLV brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UNLV won and Utah State covered the spread.