Ole Miss defeated Florida 34–24 in a double-digit victory. Florida covered by 0.5; Game went Over by 4.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium were Overcast, 65.5°F, Feels Like 65.5°F with winds of 9.8 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
65.5°F
Lacy rushed for 224 yards and three touchdowns, breaking the school's single-season rushing touchdown record with 19. His go-ahead score on the first play of the fourth quarter and a 4-yard TD with 1:43 left sealed the win, showcasing his dominance and the offensive line's effectiveness.
Ole Miss held Florida scoreless in the second half, allowing only 103 offensive yards. The defense forced a key interception on a tipped ball and stopped Florida on fourth down late, demonstrating resilience and ability to clamp down when needed.
Despite the win, Ole Miss failed to score touchdowns on two red-zone drives in the second half, settling for field goals. This inconsistency could be a concern against tougher opponents, but the offense still amassed 538 total yards.
Fans chanted 'We want Lane!' amid speculation about Kiffin leaving for another job, possibly Florida. Kiffin avoided questions about his future, emphasizing the team's 8-0 home record and playoff hopes. The distraction could affect team morale, but the Rebels remain focused on their goals.
The win keeps Ole Miss (10-1) in the College Football Playoff hunt, potentially moving into the top five after Alabama's loss. After a bye week, they visit Mississippi State in the Egg Bowl on Nov. 28, needing to maintain momentum to secure a playoff spot.
Florida travels 532 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Florida arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.
Ole Miss won by 10 in a double-digit victory.
Florida covered the spread narrowly.
The total went Over by 4.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ole Miss (23.4) over Florida (14.8) by 8.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ole Miss brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Ole Miss won and Florida covered the spread.
