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Week 12 • November 16, 2025, 03:30 AM UTC
Boise State @ San Diego State
6-3
MW
Power Rank: 8.1
7 FINAL 17
7-2
MW
Power Rank: 3.7
San Diego State covered by 7.5 | Game went Under by 17.5

By · Last updated

San Diego State defeated Boise State 17–7 in a double-digit victory. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Boise State 4.4 points stronger on a neutral field.

Boise State @ San Diego State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM PST
Stadium: Snapdragon Stadium
Capacity: 35,000
Elevation: 89 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread San Diego State -2.5
Total (O/U) 41.5
Expected Score BOIS 19.5 - 22.0 SDSU
Power Rank Implied Line Boise State +4.4
Prediction Markets San Diego State 55% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

62.0°F

Feels Like: 62.0°F
Wind: 3.1 mph SSE
Gusts: 4.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 64%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Boise State (Away)

This Week: 747.9 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 10122.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:30
Rest Days: 15

San Diego State (Home)

This Week: 0.2 miles
Last Week: 5225.6 miles
Season Total: 13353.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 8

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line San Diego State -2.5
Total Points 41.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Boise State 8.1
San Diego State 3.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 748 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Boise State +7
HFA: Snapdragon Stadium
Capacity 35,000
Elevation 89 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 62.0°F
Wind Speed 3.1 mph
Your Line San Diego State -4.4
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Boise State vs San Diego State?

Boise State: Key Factors

San Diego State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Boise State travels 748 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Boise State arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

San Diego State won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

San Diego State covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 17.5 points.

How do Boise State and San Diego State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Boise State (8.1) over San Diego State (3.7) by 4.4 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, San Diego State faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. San Diego State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Boise State and San Diego State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

San Diego State won and San Diego State covered the spread.