14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 08:00 PM UTC
UTEP @ Missouri State
2-7
CUSA
Power Rank: -12.4
24 FINAL 38
6-3
CUSA
Power Rank: -12.1
Missouri State covered by 9.5 | Game went Over by 12.5

By · Last updated

Missouri State defeated UTEP 38–24 in a double-digit victory.

UTEP @ Missouri State Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:00 PM CST
Stadium: Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity: 17,500
Elevation: 1339 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Missouri State -4.5
Total (O/U) 49.5
Expected Score UTEP 22.5 - 27.0 MOST
Power Rank Implied Line Missouri State +0.3
Prediction Markets Missouri State 67% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

30.0°F

Wind Chill: 23.5°F
Wind: 6.5 mph ESE
Gusts: 13.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 88%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UTEP (Away)

This Week: 841.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 10923.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 13:00
Rest Days: 7

Missouri State (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 1553.3 miles
Season Total: 8058.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Missouri State -4.5
Total Points 49.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UTEP -12.4
Missouri State -12.1
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 841 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Plaster Sports Complex
Capacity 17,500
Elevation 1339 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 30.0°F
Wind Speed 6.5 mph
Your Line Missouri State +0.3
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for UTEP vs Missouri State?

UTEP: Key Factors

Missouri State: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

UTEP travels 841 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UTEP arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Missouri State won by 14 in a double-digit victory.

Missouri State covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 12.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Plaster Sports Complex?

At 30.0°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do UTEP and Missouri State compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate UTEP (-12.4) and Missouri State (-12.1) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, HFA, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. Missouri State brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UTEP and Missouri State?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Missouri State won and Missouri State covered the spread.