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Week 12 •
Mackay Stadium

San José State10 @FINAL 55Nevada

3-6 MW Power rating: -2.4
1-8 MW Power rating: -14.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
SJSU -10.0
PM Implied
Not yet available
Blue Chip model
SJSU -9.1
Edge
+0.9NEV
See details
◂ favors SJSUfavors NEV ▸Market: SJSU -10.0
‹ 12.2 SJSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
NEV
no impact
no impact
NEV
no impact
1 SJSU1 NEV2 SJSU2 NEVModel: SJSU -9.1

Betting information

Spread
SJSU -10.0
Total
49.5
Odds implied score
SJSU 29.8 – 19.8 NEV

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Nevada defeated San José State 55–10 in a dominant performance. Nevada covered by 55.0; Game went Over by 15.5. The market closed at San José State -10.0 and the Blue Chip model made it San José State -9.1. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line. Blue Chip Analytics had rated San José State 12.2 points stronger on a neutral field.

What are the key factors for San José State vs Nevada?

San José State

Turnover Troubles

Quarterback Walker Eget threw three interceptions, one returned for a touchdown, leading to a 31-0 halftime deficit and a 55-10 loss.

Offensive Struggles

The offense managed only one touchdown late in the game, a 12-yard run by Tama Amisone, and was held scoreless in the first half.

Defensive Lapses

The defense allowed 55 points, including a 99-yard kickoff return for a touchdown, and could not stop Nevada's balanced attack of 195 passing yards and 128 rushing yards.

What were the weather conditions for San José State vs Nevada?

At kickoff, conditions at Mackay Stadium were Overcast, 50°F, wind chill 47°F with winds of 3 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

San José State travels 190 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Nevada won by 45 in a dominant performance.

Nevada covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 15.5 points.

How do San José State and Nevada compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor San José State (-2.4) over Nevada (-14.6) by 12.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Nevada faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Nevada brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on San José State and Nevada?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Nevada won and Nevada covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 15, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

50°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity83%
Wind3 mph E
Gusts3 mph
Wind chill47°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for San José State at Nevada: aerial view of Mackay Stadium, wind from the E at 2.9 mph, gusting to 3.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
12:30 PM PST
Venue
Mackay Stadium
Capacity
30,000
Elevation
4,619 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

San José StateAway NevadaHome
This week190 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game894 miles
Season total6,221 miles10,875 miles
Body clock12:3012:30
Rest7 days6 days

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