Miami defeated NC State 41–7 in a dominant performance. Miami covered by 17.5; Game went Under by 6.5.
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At kick-off, conditions at Hard Rock Stadium were Partly cloudy, 73.2°F, Feels Like 77.0°F with winds of 8.9 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
73.2°F
NC State's offense, which entered the game ranked No. 2 in ACC total offense (454 ypg), was held to just 149 total yards and 120 passing yards by Miami's defense. The Wolfpack managed only one touchdown late in the fourth quarter against Miami's reserves, extending their streak of not being shut out to 144 games.
NC State allowed 41 points to Miami, marking the fourth consecutive game in which they have given up 36 or more points. This is the first time the program has done so since a four-game stretch in 2013. The defense was unable to stop Miami's balanced attack, which amassed 581 total yards.
The Wolfpack committed two interceptions in the first quarter, one of which was returned for a touchdown by Miami's Jakobe Thomas. These early turnovers put NC State in a deep hole and contributed to their inability to sustain drives.
Despite the lopsided loss, punter Caden Fordham performed well, as noted by head coach Dave Doeren. Fordham's punting helped limit Miami's field position at times, but it was not enough to overcome the team's overall struggles.
NC State will host Florida State on Friday. The Wolfpack will need to address their defensive issues and offensive inconsistency to compete against a Seminoles team that will be looking to build momentum.
NC State travels 684 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Miami won by 34 in a dominant performance.
Miami covered the spread comfortably.
The total went Under by 6.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Miami (24.5) over NC State (5.8) by 18.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Miami brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Miami won and Miami covered the spread.
