Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
5-4
ACC
Power Rank: 5.8
7 FINAL 41
7-2
ACC
Power Rank: 24.5
Miami covered by 19.5 | Game went Under by 7.5

Miami defeated NC State 41–7 in a dominant performance.

NC State @ Miami Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EST
Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Capacity: 64,767
Elevation: 43 ft
HFA Rating: 1.9
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread Miami -14.5
Total (O/U) 55.5
Expected Score NCSU 20.5 - 35.0 MIA
Power Rank Implied Line Miami +18.7
Prediction Markets Miami 84% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Overcast

Overcast

52.4°F

Wind Chill: 49.6°F
Wind: 8.5 mph NNW
Gusts: 11.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 22%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

NC State (Away)

This Week: 684.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2703.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 14

Miami (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4994.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Miami -14.5
Total Points 55.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
NC State 5.8
Miami 24.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 684 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest NC State +7
HFA: Hard Rock Stadium
Capacity 64,767
Elevation 43 ft
Weather: Overcast
Temperature 52.4°F
Wind Speed 8.5 mph
Your Line Miami +18.7
Implied Value

What are the key factors for NC State vs Miami?

NC State: Key Factors

Miami: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

NC State travels 684 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Miami won by 34 in a dominant performance.

Miami covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 7.5 points.

How do NC State and Miami compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Miami (24.5) over NC State (5.8) by 18.7 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Miami brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Miami won and Miami covered the spread.