Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
6-3
Big Ten
Power Rank: 19.6
21 FINAL 26
7-2
Big Ten
Power Rank: 21.2
Iowa covered by 1.5 | Game went Under by 2.5

USC defeated Iowa 26–21 in a closely contested finish.

Iowa @ USC Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:30 PM PST
Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity: 77,500
Elevation: 177 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread USC -6.5
Total (O/U) 49.5
Expected Score IOWA 21.5 - 28.0 USC
Power Rank Implied Line USC +1.6
Prediction Markets USC 69% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

60.2°F

Feels Like: 60.2°F
Wind: 7.2 mph WSW
Gusts: 9.4 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 58%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Iowa (Away)

This Week: 1546.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 4398.0 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

USC (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 13142.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line USC -6.5
Total Points 49.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Iowa 19.6
USC 21.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1547 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity 77,500
Elevation 177 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 60.2°F
Wind Speed 7.2 mph
Your Line USC +1.6
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Iowa vs USC?

Iowa: Key Factors

USC: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Iowa travels 1,547 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Iowa arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

USC won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

Iowa covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Under by 2.5 points.

How do Iowa and USC compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour USC (21.2) over Iowa (19.6) by 1.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. USC brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

USC won and Iowa covered the spread.