Week 12November 15, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
21
6-3
Big Ten
Power Rank: 19.6
@
FINAL
26
7-2
Big Ten
Power Rank: 21.2

By · Last updated

USC defeated Iowa 26–21 in a closely contested finish. Iowa covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 1.5.

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:30 PM PST
Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity: 77,500
Elevation: 177 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread USC -6.5
Total (O/U) 48.5
Odds Implied Score IOWA 21.0 - 27.5 USC
Power Rank Implied Line USC -1.6
Prediction Markets USC 69% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Iowa @ USC Preview

Line Value Calculator

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Iowa
USC
Home field: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Weather: Light rain
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Iowa vs USC?

At kick-off, conditions at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum were Light rain, 58.1°F, Feels Like 57.9°F with winds of 5.4 mph. Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 15, 2025
Light rain

Light rain

58.1°F

Feels Like: 57.9°F
Wind: 5.4 mph SSW
Gusts: 9.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.05"
Humidity: 99%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Iowa (Away)

This Week: 1546.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 3848.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

USC (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 13142.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:30
Rest Days: 7

What happened in the game?

Iowa travels 1,547 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Iowa arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

USC won by 5 in a closely contested finish.

Iowa covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum?

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Iowa and USC compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour USC (21.2) over Iowa (19.6) by 1.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. USC brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

USC won and Iowa covered the spread.