Arizona defeated Cincinnati 30–24 in a closely contested finish. Arizona covered by 11.5; Game went Under by 2.5. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Cincinnati 3.1 points stronger on a neutral field.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Nippert Stadium were Overcast, 64.4°F, Feels Like 64.4°F with winds of 15.2 mph. Wind of 15.2 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff. Gusts reaching 21.5 mph add unpredictability to the passing game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
64.4°F
Arizona travels 1,555 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.
Arizona arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.
Arizona won by 6 in a closely contested finish.
Arizona covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 2.5 points.
Wind of 15.2 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff.
Gusts reaching 21.5 mph add unpredictability to the passing game.
Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Cincinnati (12.7) over Arizona (9.6) by 3.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Cincinnati brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Arizona won and Arizona covered the spread.
