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Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
Arizona @ Cincinnati
6-3
Big 12
Power Rank: 9.6
30 FINAL 24
7-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 12.7
Arizona covered by 15.5 | Game went Under by 1.5

By · Last updated

Arizona defeated Cincinnati 30–24 in a closely contested finish. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Cincinnati 3.1 points stronger on a neutral field.

Arizona @ Cincinnati Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EST
Stadium: Nippert Stadium
Capacity: 38,088
Elevation: 778 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Cincinnati -9.5
Total (O/U) 55.5
Expected Score ARIZ 23.0 - 32.5 CIN
Power Rank Implied Line Cincinnati +3.1
Prediction Markets Cincinnati 69% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Moderate snow

Moderate snow

30.0°F

Wind Chill: 22.1°F
Wind: 8.7 mph SW
Gusts: 11.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.02"
Humidity: 88%
Rain Chance: 100%
Snow Chance: 73%

Travel & Rest

Arizona (Away)

This Week: 1554.7 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 7217.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 10:00
Rest Days: 7

Cincinnati (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 8250.6 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Cincinnati -9.5
Total Points 55.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Arizona 9.6
Cincinnati 12.7
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1555 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Cincinnati +7
HFA: Nippert Stadium
Capacity 38,088
Elevation 778 ft
Weather: Moderate snow
Temperature 30.0°F
Wind Speed 8.7 mph
Your Line Cincinnati +3.1
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Arizona vs Cincinnati?

Arizona: Key Factors

Cincinnati: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Arizona travels 1,555 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Arizona arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

Arizona won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Arizona covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 1.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Nippert Stadium?

At 30.0°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Precipitation chance is 100%, pointing to a wet-field game. High precip probability increases fumble risk and typically compresses both team totals.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Arizona and Cincinnati compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Cincinnati (12.7) over Arizona (9.6) by 3.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Cincinnati brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Arizona and Cincinnati?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Arizona won and Arizona covered the spread.