Week 12 • November 15, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
3-6
MW
Power Rank: -4.8
16 FINAL 26
7-3
Independent
Power Rank: -3.2
UConn covered by 2.5 | Game went Under by 21.5

UConn defeated Air Force 26–16 in a double-digit victory.

Air Force @ UConn Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EST
Stadium: Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Capacity: 36,000
Elevation: 46 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread UConn -7.5
Total (O/U) 63.5
Expected Score AF 28.0 - 35.5 CONN
Power Rank Implied Line UConn +1.6
Prediction Markets UConn 74% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Freezing fog

Freezing fog

22.2°F

Wind Chill: 15.8°F
Wind: 6.0 mph W
Gusts: 9.6 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 89%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Air Force (Away)

This Week: 1701.1 miles
Last Week: 1865.9 miles
Season Total: 8854.9 miles
Body Clock Time: 10:00
Rest Days: 7

UConn (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6984.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line UConn -7.5
Total Points 63.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Air Force -4.8
UConn -3.2
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1701 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Capacity 36,000
Elevation 46 ft
Weather: Freezing fog
Temperature 22.2°F
Wind Speed 6.0 mph
Your Line UConn +1.6
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Air Force vs UConn?

Air Force: Key Factors

UConn: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Air Force travels 1,701 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Air Force arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

UConn won by 10 in a double-digit victory.

UConn covered the spread, covering narrowly.

The total went Under by 21.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Pratt & Whitney Stadium?

At 22.2°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Air Force and UConn compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour UConn (-3.2) over Air Force (-4.8) by 1.6 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. UConn brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

UConn won and UConn covered the spread.