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Week 12 •
S.B. Ballard Stadium

Troy0 @FINAL 33Old Dominion

6-3 Sun Belt Power rating: -3.3
6-3 Sun Belt Power rating: 2.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
ODU -9.5
PM Implied
ODU -7.6
Blue Chip model
ODU -9.2
Edge
-0.3TROY
See details
◂ favors TROYfavors ODU ▸Market: ODU -9.5
6.2 › ODU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
ODU
ODU
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 TROY1 ODU2 TROY2 ODUModel: ODU -9.2

Betting information

Spread
ODU -9.5
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
TROY 22.0 – 31.5 ODU
Prediction markets
ODU 77% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Old Dominion defeated Troy 33–0 in a dominant performance. Old Dominion covered by 23.5; Game went Under by 20.5. The market closed at Old Dominion -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Old Dominion -9.2. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line.

What are the key factors for Troy vs Old Dominion?

Old Dominion

Dominant rushing attack

Old Dominion rushed for 351 yards on 47 carries (7.5 ypc) with three touchdowns, led by Devin Roche (145 yards) and Trequan Jones (96 yards, 65-yard TD). This ground dominance will be a key factor in future games.

Colton Joseph's dual-threat performance

Quarterback Colton Joseph threw for 147 yards and a touchdown while rushing for 90 yards and two scores, showcasing his ability to lead the offense both through the air and on the ground.

Defensive shutout and record-setting sack

The defense held Troy to 138 total yards and nine first downs, recording nine sacks (a program record) and earning their second FBS shutout. This defensive performance builds confidence for upcoming matchups.

Historic seventh win

Old Dominion reached seven wins for the first time since 2016, marking a significant milestone and indicating strong team momentum heading into the next game.

What were the weather conditions for Troy vs Old Dominion?

At kickoff, conditions at S.B. Ballard Stadium were Overcast, 50°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Troy travels 653 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Troy arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Old Dominion won by 33 in a dominant performance.

Old Dominion covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 20.5 points.

How do Troy and Old Dominion compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Old Dominion (2.9) over Troy (-3.3) by 6.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Old Dominion brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.3). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Troy and Old Dominion?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Old Dominion won and Old Dominion covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 14, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

50°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity55%
Wind7 mph NW
Gusts13 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Troy at Old Dominion: aerial view of S.B. Ballard Stadium, wind from the NW at 7.4 mph, gusting to 13.2 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EST
Venue
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Capacity
21,944
Elevation
13 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

TroyAway Old DominionHome
This week653 miles0 miles
Last weekBye weekBye week
Season total5,092 miles4,561 miles
Body clock18:3019:30
Rest12 days13 days

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