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Week 12 • November 14, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
Troy @ Old Dominion
6-3
Sun Belt
Power Rank: -3.3
0 FINAL 33
6-3
Sun Belt
Power Rank: 2.9
Old Dominion covered by 21.5 | Game went Under by 21.5

By · Last updated

Old Dominion defeated Troy 33–0 in a dominant performance.

Troy @ Old Dominion Preview

General Information

Week: Week 12
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EST
Stadium: S.B. Ballard Stadium
Capacity: 21,944
Elevation: 13 ft
HFA Rating: 2.8
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread Old Dominion -11.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score TROY 21.5 - 33.0 ODU
Power Rank Implied Line Old Dominion +6.2
Prediction Markets Old Dominion 77% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

21.7°F

Wind Chill: 7.6°F
Wind: 17.0 mph NW
Gusts: 27.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 77%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Troy (Away)

This Week: 653.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 6308.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 13

Old Dominion (Home)

This Week: 0.1 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 4560.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 13

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Old Dominion -11.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Troy -3.3
Old Dominion 2.9
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 653 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: S.B. Ballard Stadium
Capacity 21,944
Elevation 13 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 21.7°F
Wind Speed 17.0 mph
Your Line Old Dominion +6.2
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Troy vs Old Dominion?

Troy: Key Factors

Old Dominion: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Troy travels 653 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Troy arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

Old Dominion won by 33 in a dominant performance.

Old Dominion covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Under by 21.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at S.B. Ballard Stadium?

At 21.7°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Wind of 17.0 mph creates a moderate passing and kicking risk. Monitor this figure closer to kickoff.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Troy and Old Dominion compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Old Dominion (2.9) over Troy (-3.3) by 6.2 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Old Dominion brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.8). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Troy and Old Dominion?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Old Dominion won and Old Dominion covered the spread.