DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026
Toledo defeated Miami (OH) 24–3 to secure a comfortable win. Toledo covered by 15.5; Game went Under by 17.5. The market closed at Toledo -5.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Toledo -1.0 - a gap of 4.5 points toward Miami (OH), of which 3.5 points were beyond the model's measured factors. That was an information gap - the market pricing something the model does not carry - rather than a measured edge.
Miami (OH) quarterback Henry Hesson completed only 11 of 38 passes for 147 yards and threw three interceptions, leading to a lack of offensive production.
The RedHawks allowed six sacks, shared by seven different Toledo defenders, which disrupted drives and contributed to the team's inability to sustain momentum.
Miami (OH) managed only 222 total yards, indicating significant difficulties in moving the ball effectively against Toledo's defense.
Despite the loss, Miami's defense forced two early interceptions from Toledo's Tucker Gleason, but the offense failed to capitalize, punting on both ensuing drives.
At kickoff, conditions at Yager Stadium were Clear, 32°F, wind chill 25°F with winds of 8 mph. At 32°F, cold is worth noting but is unlikely to be decisive. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.
Clear
32°F
| Measure | ToledoAway | Miami (OH)Home |
|---|---|---|
| This week | 159 miles | 0 miles |
| Last week | Home game | 283 miles |
| Season total | 4,309 miles | 3,013 miles |
| Body clock | 19:00 | 19:00 |
| Rest | 7 days | 8 days |
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