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Week 12 •
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

Northern Illinois45 @FINAL 3Massachusetts

2-7 MAC Power rating: -11.6
0-9 MAC Power rating: -24.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
NIU -9.5
PM Implied
NIU -8.8
Blue Chip model
NIU -10.5
Edge
-1.0NIU
See details
◂ favors NIUfavors MASS ▸Market: NIU -9.5
‹ 12.8 NIU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MASS
no impact
no impact
no impact
MASS
1 NIU1 MASS2 NIU2 MASSModel: NIU -10.5

Betting information

Spread
NIU -9.5
Total
43.5
Odds implied score
NIU 26.5 – 17.0 MASS
Prediction markets
NIU 81% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Northern Illinois defeated Massachusetts 45–3 in a dominant performance. Northern Illinois covered by 32.5; Game went Over by 4.5. The market closed at Northern Illinois -9.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Northern Illinois -10.5, an edge of 1.0 points toward Northern Illinois.

What are the key factors for Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts?

Northern Illinois

New QB spark

Jalen Macon, in his first start for NIU, accounted for four touchdowns (three rushing, one passing) and led the offense to 318 rushing yards, showing a dynamic dual-threat capability that could be a key factor in upcoming games.

Dominant rushing attack

The Huskies averaged 5.8 yards per carry and scored on seven of their first eight possessions, indicating a powerful ground game that can control the clock and wear down defenses.

Stifling defense

NIU held UMass to 65 rushing yards and only 4.7 yards per pass attempt, allowing just one red-zone trip and a field goal, demonstrating a defense capable of shutting down opponents and forcing mistakes.

Explosive plays

The offense recorded six plays of 20 yards or more, including a 67-yard touchdown pass, showing the ability to strike quickly and create big gains that can change the momentum of a game.

What were the weather conditions for Northern Illinois vs Massachusetts?

At kickoff, conditions at Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium were Clear, 34°F, wind chill 29°F with winds of 7 mph. At 34°F, cold is worth noting but is unlikely to be decisive. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Northern Illinois travels 833 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

Northern Illinois arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

Northern Illinois won by 42 in a dominant performance.

Northern Illinois covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 4.5 points.

How do Northern Illinois and Massachusetts compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Northern Illinois (-11.6) over Massachusetts (-24.4) by 12.8 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Massachusetts faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Massachusetts brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Northern Illinois and Massachusetts?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Northern Illinois won and Northern Illinois covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 13, 2025 Game-time

Clear

34°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity85%
Wind7 mph WSW
Gusts11 mph
Wind chill29°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Northern Illinois at Massachusetts: aerial view of Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium, wind from the WSW at 6.7 mph, gusting to 11.4 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 12
Kickoff (local)
07:00 PM EST
Venue
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Capacity
17,000
Elevation
157 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

Northern IllinoisAway MassachusettsHome
This week833 miles0 miles
Last week535 miles945 miles
Season total5,166 miles7,202 miles
Body clock18:0019:00
Rest7 days8 days

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