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Week 11 •
Rice Stadium

UAB17 @FINAL 24Rice

3-5 American Power rating: -9.8
4-5 American Power rating: -14.1

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
UAB -1.5
PM Implied
UAB -0.1
Blue Chip model
UAB -1.4
Edge
+0.1RICE
See details
◂ favors UABfavors RICE ▸Market: UAB -1.5
‹ 4.3 UAB
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
RICE
no impact
no impact
no impact
RICE
1 UAB1 RICE2 UAB2 RICE3 UAB3 RICEModel: UAB -1.4

Betting information

Spread
UAB -1.5
Total
51.5
Odds implied score
UAB 26.5 – 25.0 RICE
Prediction markets
UAB 51% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Rice defeated UAB 24–17 in a one-score game. Rice covered by 8.5; Game went Under by 10.5. The market closed at UAB -1.5 and the Blue Chip model made it UAB -1.4. The two were within a point of each other, so there was no meaningful edge in this line. Blue Chip Analytics had rated UAB 4.3 points stronger on a neutral field.

What are the key factors for UAB vs Rice?

UAB

Second-half offensive collapse

UAB was shut out in the second half after leading 17-14 at halftime, failing to score any points in the final two quarters.

Quarterback struggles under pressure

Ryder Burton was sacked on a critical third-and-5 late in the game and threw an incomplete pass on fourth-and-12, ending a key drive with 1:42 left.

Ineffective passing game

Burton completed 18 of 34 passes for 213 yards with 2 touchdowns, but the offense stalled in the second half, managing only 41 total yards in the final two quarters.

Rushing attack limited

Jevon Jackson ran for 89 yards on 15 carries, but the team as a whole struggled to establish a consistent ground game, especially in the second half.

Defensive letdown in key moments

The defense allowed Rice to score 10 unanswered points in the second half, including a 3-yard touchdown pass that put Rice ahead 21-17, and could not force a stop when needed.

What were the weather conditions for UAB vs Rice?

At kickoff, conditions at Rice Stadium were Partly cloudy, 77°F with winds of 11 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UAB travels 571 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Rice won by 7 in a one-score game.

Rice covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 10.5 points.

How do UAB and Rice compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor UAB (-9.8) over Rice (-14.1) by 4.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Rice faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Rice brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UAB and Rice?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Rice won and Rice covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

77°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity68%
Wind11 mph S
Gusts16 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UAB at Rice: aerial view of Rice Stadium, wind from the S at 10.7 mph, gusting to 16.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM CST
Venue
Rice Stadium
Capacity
47,000
Elevation
66 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

UABAway RiceHome
This week571 miles0 miles
Last week1,922 milesHome game
Season total5,607 miles5,160 miles
Body clock13:0013:00
Rest7 days8 days

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