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Week 11 •
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

Tulane38 @FINAL 32Memphis

6-2 American Power rating: 6.5
8-1 American Power rating: 8.9

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MEM -3.0
PM Implied
MEM -2.7
Blue Chip model
MEM -4.6
Edge
+1.6MEM
See details
◂ favors TULNfavors MEM ▸Market: MEM -3.0
MEM
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MEM
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 TULN1 MEM2 TULN2 MEMModel: MEM -4.6

Betting information

Spread
MEM -3.0
Total
53.5
Odds implied score
TULN 25.3 – 28.3 MEM
Prediction markets
MEM 61% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Tulane defeated Memphis 38–32 in a closely contested finish. Tulane covered by 9.0; Game went Over by 16.5. The market closed at Memphis -3.0 and the Blue Chip model made it Memphis -4.6, an edge of 1.6 points toward Memphis.

What are the key factors for Tulane vs Memphis?

Tulane

Resilient bounce-back win

After a disappointing loss to Texas-San Antonio, Tulane showed resilience by defeating No. 22 Memphis on the road, keeping their Group of Five CFP hopes alive.

Explosive first-half offense

Jake Retzlaff threw for 284 yards and three touchdowns in the first half alone, leading Tulane to a 35-17 lead. The team scored on their first play from scrimmage and four of their next five possessions.

Second-half offensive slowdown

Despite a dominant first half, Tulane's offense was held to just 93 yards in the second half, nearly allowing Memphis to complete a comeback. This inconsistency could be a concern moving forward.

Favorable remaining schedule

Tulane's final three regular-season games are against Florida Atlantic, Temple, and Charlotte, who have a combined record of 9-16. This sets up well for a potential CFP berth if they continue to win.

Key defensive stop seals win

Tulane's defense came up big when needed, stopping Memphis on fourth-and-8 from the Tulane 35 with two minutes left, preserving the victory and ending Memphis' 11-game home winning streak.

Memphis

Playoff Hopes Dashed

Memphis entered as the highest-ranked Group of Five team in the CFP rankings but lost 38-32 to Tulane, effectively ending their chances for a College Football Playoff spot.

Slow Start and Defensive Lapses

The Tigers allowed 364 first-half yards and fell behind 35-17 at halftime due to explosive plays, including a 65-yard touchdown on Tulane's first play from scrimmage.

Furious Comeback Falls Short

Memphis rallied from a 21-point third-quarter deficit to cut the lead to 38-32, but failed on a fourth-and-8 from the Tulane 35 with two minutes left, ending their 11-game home winning streak.

Quarterback Uncertainty

Brendon Lewis (317 passing yards, 2 TDs) was a gametime decision due to injury and later hobbled off, with Arrington Maiden finishing the game, raising concerns about QB health for next week.

Next Game at East Carolina

Memphis (8-2, 4-2 AAC) travels to East Carolina on Nov. 15, needing to regroup after a tough loss and address defensive issues to stay competitive in the conference.

What were the weather conditions for Tulane vs Memphis?

At kickoff, conditions at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium were Fog, 52°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Tulane travels 357 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Tulane won by 6 in a closely contested finish.

Tulane covered the spread by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 16.5 points.

How do Tulane and Memphis compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Memphis (8.9) over Tulane (6.5) by 2.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Memphis brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Tulane and Memphis?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Tulane won and Tulane covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Fog

52°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity98%
Wind6 mph NNE
Gusts12 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Tulane at Memphis: aerial view of Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium, wind from the NNE at 5.8 mph, gusting to 12.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
08:00 PM CST
Venue
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Capacity
50,000
Elevation
315 ft
Surface
Artificial Turf

Travel and rest

TulaneAway MemphisHome
This week357 miles0 miles
Last week1,008 miles978 miles
Season total3,319 miles4,402 miles
Body clock20:0020:00
Rest9 days8 days

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