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Week 11 •
Hard Rock Stadium

Syracuse10 @FINAL 38Miami

3-6 ACC Power rating: -1.8
6-2 ACC Power rating: 22.6

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
MIA -28.5
PM Implied
MIA -19.3
Blue Chip model
MIA -26.5
Edge
-2.0SYR
See details
◂ favors SYRfavors MIA ▸Market: MIA -28.5
24.4 › MIA
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
MIA
no impact
MIA
no impact
MIA
1 SYR1 MIA2 SYR2 MIAModel: MIA -26.5

Betting information

Spread
MIA -28.5
Total
46.5
Odds implied score
SYR 9.0 – 37.5 MIA
Prediction markets
MIA 97% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Miami defeated Syracuse 38–10 in a dominant performance. Syracuse covered by 0.5; Game went Over by 1.5. The market closed at Miami -28.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Miami -26.5, an edge of 2.0 points toward Syracuse.

What are the key factors for Syracuse vs Miami?

Miami

Slow start but explosive turnaround

Miami punted on their first four drives but then scored on four consecutive possessions, showing an ability to adjust and dominate after a sluggish beginning.

Creative play-calling and depth usage

The Hurricanes used a trick play where QB Carson Beck caught a TD pass and an offensive lineman scored on a backward pass, while also relying on backups due to multiple starter injuries.

Defensive dominance with six sacks

Miami's defense recorded six sacks and an interception return for a touchdown, stifling Syracuse's offense and forcing a six-game losing streak for the Orange.

Key injuries to starters

Miami was without several starters including RB Mark Fletcher Jr., WR C.J. Daniels, CB O.J. Frederique, and DT Ahmad Moten Sr., with their availability for next week uncertain.

Beck reaches 10,000-yard milestone

Carson Beck surpassed 10,000 career passing yards, completing 18 of 24 passes for 247 yards and a TD, providing stability and experience at quarterback.

What were the weather conditions for Syracuse vs Miami?

At kickoff, conditions at Hard Rock Stadium were Partly cloudy, 79°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Syracuse travels 1,200 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Miami won by 28 in a dominant performance.

Syracuse covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Over by 1.5 points.

How do Syracuse and Miami compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Miami (22.6) over Syracuse (-1.8) by 24.4 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Miami brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.6). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Syracuse and Miami?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Miami won and Syracuse covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Partly cloudy

79°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity83%
Wind7 mph ESE
Gusts9 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Syracuse at Miami: aerial view of Hard Rock Stadium, wind from the ESE at 7.2 mph, gusting to 8.9 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
03:30 PM EST
Venue
Hard Rock Stadium
Capacity
64,767
Elevation
43 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

SyracuseAway MiamiHome
This week1,200 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game2,205 miles
Season total8,328 miles2,997 miles
Body clock15:3015:30
Rest8 days7 days

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