Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 05:00 PM UTC
6-3
ACC
Power Rank: 13.4
45 FINAL 13
1-8
ACC
Power Rank: -3.8
SMU covered by 20.5 | Game went Over by 3.5

SMU defeated Boston College 45–13 in a dominant performance.

SMU @ Boston College Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 12:00 PM EST
Stadium: Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Capacity: 44,500
Elevation: 164 ft
HFA Rating: 2.1
Playing Surface: Artifical Turf

Betting Information

Spread SMU -11.5
Total (O/U) 54.5
Expected Score SMU 33.0 - 21.5 BC
Power Rank Implied Line SMU +17.2
Prediction Markets SMU 80% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

27.0°F

Wind Chill: 18.3°F
Wind: 8.9 mph W
Gusts: 15.2 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 82%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

SMU (Away)

This Week: 1542.9 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 8844.3 miles
Body Clock Time: 11:00
Rest Days: 7

Boston College (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 9853.2 miles
Body Clock Time: 12:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line SMU -11.5
Total Points 54.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
SMU 13.4
Boston College -3.8
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1543 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
Capacity 44,500
Elevation 164 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 27.0°F
Wind Speed 8.9 mph
Your Line Boston College -17.2
Implied Value

What are the key factors for SMU vs Boston College?

SMU: Key Factors

Boston College: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

SMU travels 1,543 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

SMU arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

SMU won by 32 in a dominant performance.

SMU covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 3.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)?

At 27.0°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do SMU and Boston College compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour SMU (13.4) over Boston College (-3.8) by 17.2 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Boston College faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Boston College brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.1). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

SMU won and SMU covered the spread.