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Week 11 •
Ross-Ade Stadium

Ohio State34 @FINAL 10Purdue

8-0 Big Ten Power rating: 30.7
2-7 Big Ten Power rating: 0.4

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
OSU -29.5
PM Implied
OSU -20.8
Blue Chip model
OSU -28.4
Edge
+1.1PUR
See details
◂ favors OSUfavors PUR ▸Market: OSU -29.5
‹ 30.3 OSU
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
PUR
no impact
no impact
no impact
no impact
1 OSU1 PUR2 OSU2 PURModel: OSU -28.4

Betting information

Spread
OSU -29.5
Total
49.5
Odds implied score
OSU 39.5 – 10.0 PUR
Prediction markets
OSU 98% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

Ohio State defeated Purdue 34–10 to secure a comfortable win. Purdue covered by 5.5; Game went Under by 5.5. The market closed at Ohio State -29.5 and the Blue Chip model made it Ohio State -28.4, an edge of 1.1 points toward Purdue.

What are the key factors for Ohio State vs Purdue?

Ohio State

Dominant Second Quarter Surge

Ohio State used four straight scoring drives in the second quarter to turn a 3-0 deficit into a 24-3 halftime lead, showcasing their ability to overwhelm opponents with explosive offense.

Jeremiah Smith's Breakout Performance

Smith had a season-high 10 catches for 137 yards and a 35-yard touchdown, tying for sixth on Ohio State's all-time TD list. His consistency as a deep threat will be key against UCLA.

Julian Sayin's Efficient Passing

Sayin completed 27 of 33 passes for 303 yards and a touchdown, demonstrating poise and accuracy. His ability to spread the ball will challenge UCLA's secondary.

Injury Concern for Carnell Tate

Starting receiver Carnell Tate was held out pregame due to an undisclosed injury, but coach Ryan Day is hopeful he returns next week. His absence could impact depth against UCLA.

Defensive Dominance and Time of Possession

Ohio State held Purdue to 186 total yards and possessed the ball for over 40 minutes, controlling the game's tempo. This defensive efficiency bodes well against UCLA's offense.

What were the weather conditions for Ohio State vs Purdue?

At kickoff, conditions at Ross-Ade Stadium were Cloudy, 47°F, wind chill 45°F with winds of 6 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

Ohio State travels 208 miles to this game, a short road trip.

The trip crosses none of the distance or time-zone thresholds that have measured a price, so travel is not a factor here.

Ohio State won by 24 to secure a comfortable win.

Purdue covered the spread.

The total went Under by 5.5 points.

How do Ohio State and Purdue compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor Ohio State (30.7) over Purdue (0.4) by 30.3 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, Purdue faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. Purdue brings a modest home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 1.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Ohio State and Purdue?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

Ohio State won and Purdue covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 8, 2025 Game-time

Cloudy

47°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity72%
Wind6 mph SW
Gusts10 mph
Wind chill45°F
Snow chance0%
Wind map for Ohio State at Purdue: aerial view of Ross-Ade Stadium, wind from the SW at 5.8 mph, gusting to 10.1 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
01:00 PM EST
Venue
Ross-Ade Stadium
Capacity
61,441
Elevation
663 ft
Surface
Grass

Travel and rest

Ohio StateAway PurdueHome
This week208 miles0 miles
Last weekHome game415 miles
Season total5,567 miles1,738 miles
Body clock13:0013:00
Rest7 days7 days

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