Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 02:00 AM UTC
5-3
Big Ten
Power Rank: 6.5
17 FINAL 38
6-2
Big Ten
Power Rank: 22.8
USC covered by 6.5 | Game went Over by 2.5

USC defeated Northwestern 38–17 to secure a comfortable win.

Northwestern @ USC Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 06:00 PM PST
Stadium: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity: 77,500
Elevation: 177 ft
HFA Rating: 2.2
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread USC -14.5
Total (O/U) 52.5
Expected Score NU 19.0 - 33.5 USC
Power Rank Implied Line USC +16.3
Prediction Markets USC 84% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

61.6°F

Feels Like: 61.6°F
Wind: 2.0 mph SE
Gusts: 2.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 53%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Northwestern (Away)

This Week: 1748.9 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 5704.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 20:00
Rest Days: 14

USC (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: 2544.6 miles
Season Total: 13142.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:00
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line USC -14.5
Total Points 52.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Northwestern 6.5
USC 22.8
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 1749 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Northwestern +7
HFA: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Capacity 77,500
Elevation 177 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 61.6°F
Wind Speed 2.0 mph
Your Line USC +16.3
Implied Value

What are the key factors for Northwestern vs USC?

Northwestern: Key Factors

USC: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Northwestern travels 1,749 miles to this game, a cross-country trip.

Northwestern arrives with a 2-hour body clock disadvantage.

USC won by 21 to secure a comfortable win.

USC covered the spread, covering the spread.

The total went Over by 2.5 points.

How do Northwestern and USC compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour USC (22.8) over Northwestern (6.5) by 16.3 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. USC brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.2). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

USC won and USC covered the spread.