Iowa State defeated TCU 20–17 in a nail-biter. Iowa State covered by 10.5; Game went Under by 21.5.
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Positive adjustment = favours home team
At kick-off, conditions at Amon G. Carter Stadium were Clear, 68.0°F, Feels Like 68.0°F with winds of 9.4 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.
68.0°F
Iowa State travels 674 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.
Iowa State won by 3 in a nail-biter.
Iowa State covered the spread by a solid margin.
The total went Under by 21.5 points.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Iowa State (13.5) and TCU (13.5) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, HFA, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. TCU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.
Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.
Iowa State won and Iowa State covered the spread.
