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Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
Iowa State @ TCU
4-4
Big 12
Power Rank: 13.5
20 FINAL 17
6-2
Big 12
Power Rank: 13.5
Iowa State covered by 9.5 | Game went Under by 20.5

By · Last updated

Iowa State defeated TCU 20–17 in a nail-biter.

Iowa State @ TCU Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 02:30 PM CST
Stadium: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity: 47,000
Elevation: 646 ft
HFA Rating: 2.5
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread TCU -6.5
Total (O/U) 57.5
Expected Score ISU 25.5 - 32.0 TCU
Power Rank Implied Line Even
Prediction Markets TCU 74% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

50.5°F

Wind Chill: 47.8°F
Wind: 6.7 mph SSW
Gusts: 14.1 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 45%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Iowa State (Away)

This Week: 673.5 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 11647.8 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 7

TCU (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 6893.4 miles
Body Clock Time: 14:30
Rest Days: 14

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line TCU -6.5
Total Points 57.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Iowa State 13.5
TCU 13.5
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 674 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest TCU +7
HFA: Amon G. Carter Stadium
Capacity 47,000
Elevation 646 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 50.5°F
Wind Speed 6.7 mph
Your Line TCU +0.0
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Iowa State vs TCU?

Iowa State: Key Factors

TCU: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Iowa State travels 674 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

Iowa State won by 3 in a nail-biter.

Iowa State covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Under by 20.5 points.

How do Iowa State and TCU compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings rate Iowa State (13.5) and TCU (13.5) as essentially equal on a neutral field. In this range, HFA, travel, rest, and weather context carry more weight than the raw rating differential. TCU brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.5). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Iowa State and TCU?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

Iowa State won and Iowa State covered the spread.