14 Final 28 9 Final 20 7 Final 42 14 Final 51 7 Final 38 31 Final 35 45 Final 19 9 Final 56 24 Final 34 0 Final 34 20 Final 27 13 Final 16 14 Final 62 48 Final 45 0 Final 66 17 Final 45 3 Final 77 22 Final 44 10 Final 42 7 Final 55 22 Final 32 31 Final 42 0 Final 70 36 Final 27 12 Final 59 43 Final 36 13 Final 20 6 Final 45 24 Final 38 16 Final 27 30 Final 23 7 Final 31 20 Final 34 17 Final 72 27 Final 26 6 Final 28 33 Final 30 3 Final 69 17 Final 45 7 Final 31 10 Final 17 10 Final 42 18 Final 16 20 Final 38 17 Final 20 14 Final 56 21 Final 20 6 Final 54 3 Final 56 14 Final 56 9 Final 63 3 Final 35 33 Final 31 24 Final 21 21 Final 45 17 Final 21 38 Final 16 20 Final 3 7 Final 68 10 Final 38 3 Final 45 35 Final 9 28 Final 23 40 Final 42 20 Final 59 13 Final 24 0 Final 68 44 Final 20 0 Final 13 17 Final 34 7 Final 23 20 Final 24 3 Final 42 0 Final 73 23 Final 30 10 Final 34 14 Final 21 17 Final 42 3 Final 48 13 Final 36 3 Final 27 10 Final 70 20 Final 37
Week 11 • November 08, 2025, 08:30 PM UTC
Duke @ UConn
5-3
ACC
Power Rank: 11.1
34 FINAL 37
6-3
Independent
Power Rank: -1.8
UConn covered by 11.5 | Game went Over by 20.5

By · Last updated

UConn defeated Duke 37–34 in a nail-biter. Blue Chip Analytics had rated Duke 12.9 points stronger on a neutral field.

Duke @ UConn Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 03:30 PM EST
Stadium: Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Capacity: 36,000
Elevation: 46 ft
HFA Rating: 2.9
Playing Surface: Grass

Betting Information

Spread Duke -8.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Expected Score DUKE 29.5 - 21.0 CONN
Power Rank Implied Line Duke +12.9
Prediction Markets Duke 73% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Freezing fog

Freezing fog

12.0°F

Wind Chill: 6.2°F
Wind: 2.9 mph SW
Gusts: 6.3 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 97%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Duke (Away)

This Week: 523.4 miles
Last Week: 476.6 miles
Season Total: 8556.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

UConn (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6984.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 15:30
Rest Days: 7

Line Value Calculator

Adjust factors to calculate your projected line

Betting Information
Current Line Duke -8.5
Total Points 50.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
Duke 11.1
UConn -1.8
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 523 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest Even
HFA: Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Capacity 36,000
Elevation 46 ft
Weather: Freezing fog
Temperature 12.0°F
Wind Speed 2.9 mph
Your Line UConn -12.9
Implied Value —

What are the key factors for Duke vs UConn?

Duke: Key Factors

UConn: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

Duke travels 523 miles to this game, a moderate road trip.

UConn won by 3 in a nail-biter.

UConn covered the spread, covering by a solid margin.

The total went Over by 20.5 points.

Does weather affect this game at Pratt & Whitney Stadium?

At 12.0°F, this is a cold-weather game. Cold conditions below 35°F historically compress scoring and reduce passing efficiency, favouring unders and run-heavy offences.

Full conditions are shown in the data panel above. Forecast data sourced from WeatherAPI.com. Use the Line Value Calculator to apply a manual weather adjustment to your projected line.

How do Duke and UConn compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Duke (11.1) over UConn (-1.8) by 12.9 points on a neutral field. Despite playing at home, UConn faces a power rating deficit. Check whether the market spread accounts for this gap. UConn brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.9). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on Duke and UConn?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Model & Methodology

UConn won and UConn covered the spread.