Week 11 • November 07, 2025, 12:30 AM UTC
4-4
American
Power Rank: 2.2
23 FINAL 55
6-2
American
Power Rank: 13.3
South Florida covered by 18.5 | Game went Over by 17.5

South Florida defeated UTSA 55–23 in a dominant performance.

UTSA @ South Florida Preview

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:30 PM EST
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity: 69,218
Elevation: 72 ft
HFA Rating: 2.4
Playing Surface: Unknown

Betting Information

Spread South Florida -13.5
Total (O/U) 60.5
Expected Score UTSA 23.5 - 37.0 USF
Power Rank Implied Line South Florida +11.1
Prediction Markets South Florida 84% Win Chance (Kalshi)

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: February 02, 2026
Clear

Clear

38.4°F

Wind Chill: 31.3°F
Wind: 10.5 mph NNE
Gusts: 15.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 40%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

UTSA (Away)

This Week: 974.4 miles
Last Week: Home Game
Season Total: 6543.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 18:30
Rest Days: 8

South Florida (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 3833.5 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:30
Rest Days: 13

Line Value Calculator

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Betting Information
Current Line South Florida -13.5
Total Points 60.5
Blue Chip Analytics Power Rating
UTSA 2.2
South Florida 13.3
Travel Impact
Away Team Travel 974 mi
Home Team Travel 0 mi
Rest South Florida +5
HFA: Raymond James Stadium
Capacity 69,218
Elevation 72 ft
Weather: Clear
Temperature 38.4°F
Wind Speed 10.5 mph
Your Line South Florida +11.1
Implied Value

What are the key factors for UTSA vs South Florida?

UTSA: Key Factors

South Florida: Key Factors

What happened in the game?

UTSA travels 974 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UTSA arrives with a 1-hour body clock shift.

South Florida won by 32 in a dominant performance.

South Florida covered the spread, covering the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 17.5 points.

How do UTSA and South Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour South Florida (13.3) over UTSA (2.2) by 11.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Florida brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.4). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input — cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.