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Week 11 •
Raymond James Stadium

UTSA23 @FINAL 55South Florida

4-4 American Power rating: 2.2
6-2 American Power rating: 13.3

By · Last updated

How did the line hold up?

Market line
USF -14.0
PM Implied
USF -10.0
Blue Chip model
USF -15.1
Edge
+1.1USF
See details
◂ favors UTSAfavors USF ▸Market: USF -14.0
11.1 › USF
The power ratings row was edited directly, please click reset to adjust by team
USF
USF
USF
no impact
no impact
1 UTSA1 USF2 UTSA2 USF3 UTSA3 USFModel: USF -15.1

Betting information

Spread
USF -14.0
Total
66.5
Odds implied score
UTSA 26.3 – 40.3 USF
Prediction markets
USF 84% win chance (Kalshi)

DraftKings · as of July 8, 2026

South Florida defeated UTSA 55–23 in a dominant performance. South Florida covered by 18.0; Game went Over by 11.5. The market closed at South Florida -14.0 and the Blue Chip model made it South Florida -15.1, an edge of 1.1 points toward South Florida.

What were the weather conditions for UTSA vs South Florida?

At kickoff, conditions at Raymond James Stadium were Overcast, 71°F with winds of 7 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel alongside. Weather data is sourced from WeatherAPI.com.

What happened in the game?

UTSA travels 974 miles to this game, a significant road trip.

UTSA arrives with a 1-hour eastward body clock shift, short of the two-zone westward threshold where travel starts to price.

South Florida won by 32 in a dominant performance.

South Florida covered the spread comfortably.

The total went Over by 11.5 points.

How do UTSA and South Florida compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favor South Florida (13.3) over UTSA (2.2) by 11.1 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. South Florida brings one of the stronger home environments in the FBS to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 3.0). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Where can I find more data on UTSA and South Florida?

Sources

Game & Team Data

Weather

Travel & Rest

Model & Methodology

South Florida won and South Florida covered the spread.

Conditions

as of November 7, 2025 Game-time

Overcast

71°F

Rain0%
Precip0.00"
Humidity68%
Wind7 mph E
Gusts12 mph
Snow chance0%
Wind map for UTSA at South Florida: aerial view of Raymond James Stadium, wind from the E at 7.4 mph, gusting to 12.3 mph

Quick facts

Week
Week 11
Kickoff (local)
07:30 PM EST
Venue
Raymond James Stadium
Capacity
69,218
Elevation
72 ft
Surface
Unknown

Travel and rest

UTSAAway South FloridaHome
This week974 miles0 miles
Last weekHome gameBye week
Season total6,543 miles3,833 miles
Body clock18:3019:30
Rest8 days13 days

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