Week 11November 05, 2025, 12:00 AM UTC
20
5-3
MAC
Power Rank: -5.4
@
FINAL
24
5-3
MAC
Power Rank: -0.5

By · Last updated

Ohio defeated Miami (OH) 24–20 in a closely contested finish. Ohio covered by 1.5; Game went Under by 6.5.

General Information

Week: Week 11
Kick Off (at stadium): 07:00 PM EST
Stadium: Peden Stadium
Capacity: 25,210
Elevation: 640 ft
HFA Rating: 2.7
Playing Surface: Artificial Turf

Betting Information

Spread Ohio -2.5
Total (O/U) 50.5
Odds Implied Score M-OH 24.0 - 26.5 OHIO
Power Rank Implied Line Ohio -4.9
Prediction Markets Ohio 59% Win Chance (Kalshi)
Miami (OH) @ Ohio Preview

Line Value Calculator

Adjust any factor to update your projected line

Your line Ohio +4.9
Implied value
Current line - edit to adjust
Ohio perspective
Power ratings - edit to adjust
Miami (OH)
Ohio
Home field: Peden Stadium
Weather: Clear
Travel impact

Positive adjustment = favours home team

What were the weather conditions for Miami (OH) vs Ohio?

At kick-off, conditions at Peden Stadium were Clear, 48.2°F, Wind Chill 46.2°F with winds of 5.1 mph. Weather is not expected to be a meaningful factor in this game. Historical weather data for this game is preserved in the panel below.

Weather Conditions

Forecast for: November 05, 2025
Clear

Clear

48.2°F

Wind Chill: 46.2°F
Wind: 5.1 mph S
Gusts: 10.7 mph
Precipitation: 0.0"
Humidity: 51%
Rain Chance: 0%
Snow Chance: 0%

Travel & Rest

Miami (OH) (Away)

This Week: 141.4 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 2871.7 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 11

Ohio (Home)

This Week: 0.0 miles
Last Week: No Game
Season Total: 1773.1 miles
Body Clock Time: 19:00
Rest Days: 11

What are the key factors for Miami (OH) vs Ohio?

Miami (OH): Key Factors

Close Loss in Tight Game

Miami (OH) lost 24-20 to Ohio in a closely contested MAC matchup, falling to 5-4 overall and 4-1 in conference play, creating a four-way tie atop the MAC.

Quarterback Performance

Dequan Finn threw for 194 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, including a 27-yard TD to Kam Perry and a 4-yard TD to Braylon Isom, but his late interception sealed the loss.

Defensive Struggles on Special Teams

Miami's defense allowed a 97-yard kickoff return for a touchdown by Sieh Bangura, which shifted momentum and ultimately contributed to the defeat.

Offensive Inconsistency

Despite taking the lead twice in the fourth quarter, Miami's offense failed to sustain drives, allowing Ohio to score the game-winning touchdown with 2:15 left.

Next Game Outlook

Miami (OH) will need to improve defensive discipline on special teams and maintain offensive consistency to stay competitive in the MAC title race, as they face another tough conference opponent.

What happened in the game?

Miami (OH) travels 141 miles to this game, a short road trip.

Ohio won by 4 in a closely contested finish.

Ohio covered the spread narrowly.

The total went Under by 6.5 points.

How do Miami (OH) and Ohio compare on power ratings?

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings favour Ohio (-0.5) over Miami (OH) (-5.4) by 4.9 points on a neutral field. After adding home field advantage, the rating-implied line may differ meaningfully from the market spread. Ohio brings a meaningful home field advantage to this matchup (Blue Chip HFA: 2.7). Add this to the neutral-site differential to arrive at a venue-adjusted line.

Blue Chip Analytics power ratings represent expected point margin against an average FBS opponent on a neutral field, calculated from game data sourced via CollegeFootballData.com (CFBD). They are one input: cross-reference with the travel, rest, and weather data above before drawing conclusions.

Sources

Weather

Ohio won and Ohio covered the spread.